AI Model Win Probability
YELLOW JACKETS
100%
BULLDOGS
0%
YELLOW JACKETS
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
GEORGIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Georgia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UGA -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UGA)
GT By 1-7 points
12.2%
GT By 8-14 points
4.0%
UGA By 1-7 points
24.3%
UGA By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Georgia Tech
66
GEORGIA TECH
Georgia
75
GEORGIA
Simulated Score
Georgia Tech
72
GEORGIA TECH
Georgia
75
GEORGIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 14, 2025
GT @ UGA
87 - 92
Nov 15, 2024
UGA @ GT
77 - 69
Dec 5, 2023
GT @ UGA
62 - 76
Dec 6, 2022
UGA @ GT
77 - 79
Nov 19, 2021
GT @ UGA
88 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+55.2% more
Georgia: 13.3
vs
Georgia Tech: 8.6
Blocks (L5)
+49.4% more
Georgia: 7.1
vs
Georgia Tech: 4.8
Assists (L5)
+23.0% more
Georgia: 18.3
vs
Georgia Tech: 14.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.3%
Georgia: 76.8%
vs
Georgia Tech: 67.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GT Score
66.0
87
UGA Score
75.0
92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.6 / 33.5
21.0 / 45.0
Assists
18.3 / 14.9
14.0 / 18.0
Blocks
7.1 / 4.8
8.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
48.3 / 42.3
40.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
76.8 / 67.5
73.0 / 61.0
Rebounding
41.9 / 38.9
49.0 / 43.0
Steals
13.3 / 8.6
7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
9.7 / 15.1
14.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GT
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -3.6
ATS +/-: -2.2
UGA
Advantage
22-11-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 9.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GT
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -3.6
ATS +/-: -2.2
UGA
Advantage
15-17-1
(46.9%)
Margin: 9.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
GT
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +1.5
UGA
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UGA
GT
UGA
GT
ML
67%
22-11
61%
19-12
56%
18-14
63%
19-11
ATS
61%
20-13
55%
17-14
56%
18-14
63%
19-11
TTL
64%
21-12
61%
19-12
100%
32-0
100%
30-0