AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
100%
BRUINS
0%
WILDCATS
--
BRUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
98.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
UCLA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (UCLA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UCLA -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCLA)
ARIZ By 1-7 points
0.2%
ARIZ By 8-14 points
0.0%
UCLA By 1-7 points
1.7%
UCLA By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Arizona
35
ARIZONA
UCLA
63
UCLA
Simulated Score
Arizona
75
ARIZONA
UCLA
72
UCLA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bruins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wildcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bruins (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim
Wildcats (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 98.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 14, 2025
ARIZ @ UCLA
69 - 65
Dec 14, 2024
UCLA @ ARIZ
57 - 54
Mar 7, 2024
ARIZ @ UCLA
88 - 65
Jan 20, 2024
UCLA @ ARIZ
71 - 77
Mar 11, 2023
ARIZ @ UCLA
61 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+28.5% more
Arizona: 5.4
vs
UCLA: 3.9
Turnovers (L5)
+18.0% more
Arizona: 12.2
vs
UCLA: 10.0
Rebounding (L5)
+16.2% more
Arizona: 41.0
vs
UCLA: 34.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+11.6%
Arizona: 43.6%
vs
UCLA: 32.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ARIZ Score
35.0
69
UCLA Score
63.0
65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.0 / 43.6
53.0 / 32.0
Assists
17.1 / 18.7
15.0 / 16.0
Blocks
3.9 / 5.4
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.6 / 49.7
43.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
77.9 / 76.7
75.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
34.4 / 41.0
28.0 / 35.0
Steals
7.5 / 8.4
4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.0 / 12.2
16.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ARIZ
Advantage
36-3-0
(92.3%)
Margin: 16.8
ATS +/-: +3.2
UCLA
24-12-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ARIZ
Advantage
23-15-1
(60.5%)
Margin: 16.8
ATS +/-: +3.2
UCLA
17-18-1
(48.6%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
ARIZ
20-19-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: -1.4
UCLA
17-19-0
O: 47.2% / U: 52.8%
Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCLA
ARIZ
UCLA
ARIZ
ML
67%
24-12
67%
26-13
76%
25-8
68%
23-11
ATS
61%
22-14
74%
29-10
76%
25-8
68%
23-11
TTL
61%
22-14
56%
22-17
100%
33-0
100%
34-0