Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Huskies @ Cougars WASH @ WSU

WASHINGTON

HUSKIESWASH

2-1  |  Road

81
FINAL
Fri, Nov 14 • 11:00 PM ET
Beasley Coliseum
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON STATE

COUGARSWSU

1-2  |  Home

69
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
100%
📊
COUGARS
0%
HUSKIES --
COUGARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
168.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
WASHINGTON STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Washington State)
HuskiesWASH (-3.5) 0 CougarsWSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Huskies Cover

11.5%

Cougars Cover

88.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WSU -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSU)

WASH By 1-7 points

8.0%

WASH By 8-14 points

2.2%

WSU By 1-7 points

20.1%

WSU By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
78
WASHINGTON
90
WASHINGTON STATE
Simulated Score
70
WASHINGTON
73
WASHINGTON STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cougars Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cougars Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cougars (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim Cougars (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 168.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 14, 2025 WASH @ WSU 81 - 69
Dec 18, 2024 WSU @ WASH 73 - 89
Mar 7, 2024 WASH @ WSU 74 - 68
Feb 3, 2024 WSU @ WASH 90 - 87
Mar 2, 2023 WSU @ WASH 93 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +14.6% more
Washington State: 13.1 vs Washington: 11.4
Free Throw % (L5) +11.4%
Washington State: 80.8% vs Washington: 69.4%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.9%
Washington State: 32.4% vs Washington: 28.5%
Field Goal % (L5) +2.6%
Washington State: 47.5% vs Washington: 44.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WASH Score 78.0 81
WSU Score 90.0 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.4 / 28.5 29.0 / 35.0
Assists 13.1 / 13.8 13.0 / 7.0
Blocks 2.8 / 3.8 4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 47.5 / 44.9 42.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 80.8 / 69.4 80.0 / 78.0
Rebounding 33.6 / 38.5 33.0 / 36.0
Steals 6.3 / 7.4 4.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 13.1 / 11.4 7.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
94%TICKETS6%
88%MONEY12%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
36%MONEY64%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
45%MONEY55%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WASH Advantage
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: 3.5 ATS +/-: +0.1
WSU
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WASH Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 3.5 ATS +/-: +0.1
WSU
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
WASH
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: -0.5
WSU
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSU
WASH
WSU
WASH
ML
78% 25-7
45% 15-18
69% 20-9
66% 21-11
ATS
78% 25-7
48% 16-17
69% 20-9
66% 21-11
TTL
62% 20-12
70% 23-10
100% 29-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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