SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
3-9 | Road
110
MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
7-4 | Home
124
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
0%
TIMBERWOLVES
100%
KINGS
--
TIMBERWOLVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
214.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
SACRAMENTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Sacramento)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SAC -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SAC)
SAC By 1-7 points
27.4%
SAC By 8-14 points
21.6%
MIN By 1-7 points
20.1%
MIN By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Sacramento
109
SACRAMENTO
Minnesota
105
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Sacramento
115
SACRAMENTO
Minnesota
118
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Kings
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Timberwolves
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Kings (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Timberwolves (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 214.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 233.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 14, 2025
SAC @ MIN
103 - 117
Nov 24, 2025
MIN @ SAC
112 - 117
Nov 14, 2025
SAC @ MIN
110 - 124
Nov 9, 2025
MIN @ SAC
144 - 117
Feb 3, 2025
SAC @ MIN
116 - 114
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+16.7% more
Sacramento: 15.5
vs
Minnesota: 12.9
Blocks (L5)
+161.9% more
Minnesota: 5.8
vs
Sacramento: 2.2
Steals (L5)
+33.9% more
Minnesota: 8.1
vs
Sacramento: 6.1
Rebounding (L5)
+11.9% more
Minnesota: 40.8
vs
Sacramento: 36.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SAC Score
109.0
110
MIN Score
105.0
124
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.1 / 36.9
32.0 / 36.0
Assists
26.4 / 24.8
28.0 / 32.0
Blocks
5.8 / 2.2
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
51.1 / 44.2
49.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
80.8 / 72.7
70.0 / 59.0
Rebounding
40.8 / 36.5
51.0 / 44.0
Steals
8.1 / 6.1
10.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
12.9 / 15.5
18.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SAC
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SAC
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
MIN
Advantage
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
SAC
MIN
SAC
ML
54%
63-53
55%
55-45
54%
50-43
61%
50-32
ATS
58%
67-49
54%
52-45-3
54%
50-43
61%
50-32
TTL
63%
72-43-1
58%
57-42-1
100%
93-0
100%
82-0
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