PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
8-5-3 | Road
6
ST. LOUIS
BLUESSTL
6-8-3 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Cam York
#8 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Jordan Binnington
#50 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam York | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Jordan Binnington | None-None | 4.62 | 0.839 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
4.62
--
Save %
0.839
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
100%
BLUES
0%
FLYERS
--
BLUES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (St. Louis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around STL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)
PHI By 1 goal
12.1%
PHI By 2-3 goals
9.3%
STL By 1 goal
19.7%
STL By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
1
PHILADELPHIA
St. Louis
2
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
St. Louis
3
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blues
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blues
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blues (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Blues (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 3.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 20, 2025
STL @ PHI
2 - 3
Nov 14, 2025
PHI @ STL
6 - 5
Nov 30, 2024
PHI @ STL
3 - 2
Oct 31, 2024
STL @ PHI
1 - 2
Mar 4, 2024
STL @ PHI
2 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+44.0% more
St. Louis: 18.9
vs
Philadelphia: 13.1
Power Play % (L5)
+14.5%
St. Louis: 33.8%
vs
Philadelphia: 19.3%
Faceoff % (L5)
+9.4%
St. Louis: 50.3%
vs
Philadelphia: 40.9%
Takeaways (L5)
+12.2% more
Philadelphia: 5.0
vs
St. Louis: 4.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
1.0
6
STL Score
2.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.9 / 13.1
11.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
50.3 / 40.9
56.6 / 43.4
Hits
24.1 / 22.7
20.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
3379.0 / 1930.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
25.2 / 24.6
17.0 / 31.0
Takeaways
4.4 / 5.0
6.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
PHI
STL
PHI
ML
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
ATS
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
TTL
50%
1-1-1
25%
1-3
50%
1-1-1
50%
2-2
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