CORNELL
BIG REDCOR
0-2 | Road
97
LAFAYETTE
LEOPARDSLAF
1-2 | Home
78
AI Model Win Probability
BIG RED
100%
LEOPARDS
0%
BIG RED
--
LEOPARDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
169.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
LAFAYETTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Lafayette)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAF -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAF)
COR By 1-7 points
15.3%
COR By 8-14 points
5.8%
LAF By 1-7 points
26.2%
LAF By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Cornell
81
CORNELL
Lafayette
88
LAFAYETTE
Simulated Score
Cornell
75
CORNELL
Lafayette
68
LAFAYETTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Leopards
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Big Red
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Leopards (+4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Big Red (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o160.5
Win
Proj Total: 169.0
D
Sim
u160.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 13, 2025
COR @ LAF
97 - 78
Nov 16, 2024
LAF @ COR
71 - 81
Dec 2, 2023
COR @ LAF
79 - 71
Dec 4, 2022
LAF @ COR
68 - 73
Nov 12, 2021
COR @ LAF
90 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+22.1% more
Lafayette: 6.1
vs
Cornell: 5.0
Assists (L5)
+18.0% more
Cornell: 16.4
vs
Lafayette: 13.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.5%
Cornell: 76.9%
vs
Lafayette: 67.4%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.7%
Cornell: 34.6%
vs
Lafayette: 29.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COR Score
81.0
97
LAF Score
88.0
78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.9 / 34.6
33.0 / 38.0
Assists
13.5 / 16.4
16.0 / 23.0
Blocks
2.6 / 2.8
1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.7 / 47.0
44.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
67.4 / 76.9
65.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
33.2 / 34.4
34.0 / 44.0
Steals
6.1 / 5.0
3.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.4 / 11.9
9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COR
Advantage
15-13-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
LAF
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COR
11-15-0
(42.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
LAF
Advantage
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
COR
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: +6.5
LAF
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAF
COR
LAF
COR
ML
53%
17-15
44%
12-15
59%
19-13
63%
17-10
ATS
56%
18-14
59%
16-11
59%
19-13
63%
17-10
TTL
50%
16-16
78%
21-6
100%
32-0
100%
27-0
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