Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Dolphins @ Minutemen LEM @ MASS

LE MOYNE

DOLPHINSLEM

1-2  |  Road

80
FINAL
Thu, Nov 13 • 7:00 PM ET
Mullins Center
View Odds Details →

MASSACHUSETTS

MINUTEMENMASS

1-1  |  Home

94
AI Model Win Probability
DOLPHINS
100%
📊
MINUTEMEN
0%
DOLPHINS --
MINUTEMEN --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MASSACHUSETTS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Massachusetts)
DolphinsLEM (-3.5) 0 MinutemenMASS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dolphins Cover

46.0%

Minutemen Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MASS -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MASS)

LEM By 1-7 points

24.3%

LEM By 8-14 points

13.7%

MASS By 1-7 points

26.2%

MASS By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
68
LE MOYNE
69
MASSACHUSETTS
Simulated Score
65
LE MOYNE
80
MASSACHUSETTS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Minutemen Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Minutemen Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Minutemen (+15.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Minutemen (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u154.5 Loss
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim u154.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 13, 2025 LEM @ MASS 80 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +43.7% more
Massachusetts: 8.7 vs Le Moyne: 6.0
Blocks (L5) +39.1% more
Le Moyne: 3.0 vs Massachusetts: 1.9
Turnovers (L5) +25.7% more
Le Moyne: 17.7 vs Massachusetts: 13.1
Free Throw % (L5) +8.5%
Le Moyne: 75.0% vs Massachusetts: 66.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LEM Score 68.0 80
MASS Score 69.0 94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 26.0 / 32.1 43.0 / 36.0
Assists 14.1 / 14.1 21.0 / 19.0
Blocks 1.9 / 3.0 2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 41.2 / 47.2 52.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 66.5 / 75.0 80.0 / 64.0
Rebounding 36.5 / 34.9 42.0 / 28.0
Steals 8.7 / 6.0 6.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 13.1 / 17.7 14.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
49%MONEY51%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
21%MONEY79%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
19%MONEY81%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LEM
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-: +0.9
MASS Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LEM Advantage
16-15-0 (51.6%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-: +0.9
MASS
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
LEM
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: +1.1
MASS
20-12-0
O: 62.5% / U: 37.5% Total +/-: +4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MASS
LEM
MASS
LEM
ML
44% 14-18
68% 21-10
68% 21-10
68% 21-10
ATS
47% 15-17
65% 20-11
68% 21-10
69% 22-10
TTL
56% 18-14
42% 13-18
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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