BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
5-7-4 | Road
3
COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
11-1-5 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Alex Lyon
#34 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Mackenzie Blackwood
#39 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Lyon | None-None | 19.45 | 0.333 | -- |
| Mackenzie Blackwood | None-None | 3.00 | 0.857 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
19.45
GAA
Ldr 3.00
0.333
Save %
Ldr 0.857
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SABRES
100%
AVALANCHE
0%
SABRES
--
AVALANCHE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around COL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
BUF By 1 goal
12.1%
BUF By 2-3 goals
9.3%
COL By 1 goal
19.7%
COL By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Buffalo
2
BUFFALO
Colorado
3
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Buffalo
2
BUFFALO
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche (+2.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Avalanche (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 13, 2025
BUF @ COL
3 - 6
Oct 13, 2025
COL @ BUF
3 - 1
Jan 2, 2025
BUF @ COL
5 - 6
Dec 3, 2024
COL @ BUF
5 - 4
Dec 13, 2023
BUF @ COL
1 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+46.8% more
Colorado: 34.2
vs
Buffalo: 23.3
Takeaways (L5)
+34.6% more
Colorado: 5.3
vs
Buffalo: 3.9
Power Play % (L5)
+25.8%
Colorado: 27.8%
vs
Buffalo: 2.0%
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.9%
Colorado: 47.7%
vs
Buffalo: 43.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BUF Score
2.0
3
COL Score
3.0
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.9 / 15.0
13.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
47.7 / 43.9
59.4 / 40.6
Hits
15.3 / 19.6
22.0 / 16.0
Power Play %
27.8 / 2.0
0.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
34.2 / 23.3
34.0 / 21.0
Takeaways
5.3 / 3.9
4.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
BUF
COL
BUF
ML
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
100%
3-0
TTL
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
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Jiri Kulich's Emotional Game-Winner Lifts Sabres Over Blackhawks…
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