SAN JOSE
SHARKSSJ
8-6-3 | Road
0
CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
4-12-2 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Yaroslav Askarov
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Dustin Wolf
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaroslav Askarov | None-None | 1.03 | 0.971 | -- |
| Dustin Wolf | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.03
GAA
Ldr 0.00
0.971
Save %
Ldr 1.000
--
SO
Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
100%
FLAMES
0%
SHARKS
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CALGARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Calgary)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CGY -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)
SJ By 1 goal
12.1%
SJ By 2-3 goals
9.3%
CGY By 1 goal
19.7%
CGY By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
San Jose
3
SAN JOSE
Calgary
4
CALGARY
Simulated Score
San Jose
2
SAN JOSE
Calgary
4
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Flames
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flames (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Flames (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 26, 2026
CGY @ SJ
4 - 1
Jan 31, 2026
SJ @ CGY
2 - 3
Dec 16, 2025
CGY @ SJ
3 - 6
Nov 13, 2025
SJ @ CGY
0 - 2
Apr 13, 2025
SJ @ CGY
2 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+56.1% more
Calgary: 4.9
vs
San Jose: 3.1
Shots on Goal (L5)
+54.2% more
Calgary: 34.3
vs
San Jose: 22.3
Faceoff % (L5)
+6.5%
Calgary: 52.1%
vs
San Jose: 45.7%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+24.3% more
San Jose: 15.3
vs
Calgary: 11.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SJ Score
3.0
0
CGY Score
4.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.6 / 15.3
13.0 / 25.0
Faceoff %
52.1 / 45.7
62.2 / 37.8
Hits
19.1 / 18.6
10.0 / 19.0
Power Play %
178.0 / 1621.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
34.3 / 22.3
36.0 / 17.0
Takeaways
4.9 / 3.1
6.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
SJ
CGY
SJ
ML
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
ATS
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
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Flames Promote Aydar Suniev and Jonathan Castagna to Fill Roster…
Sharks Stunned: Celebrini Sidelined by Lower-Body Injury Moments…
Sharks' Celebrini Sidelined with Lower-Body Injury in Loss to St…
Sharks Place Forward Patrick Giles on Waivers