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MILWAUKEE

PANTHERSMILW

2-1  |  Road

70
FINAL
Wed, Nov 12 • 7:00 PM ET
Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall
View Odds Details →

INDIANA

HOOSIERSIU

2-0  |  Home

101
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
📊
HOOSIERS
0%
PANTHERS --
HOOSIERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Indiana)
PanthersMILW (-3.5) 0 HoosiersIU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

18.4%

Hoosiers Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IU -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IU)

MILW By 1-7 points

12.2%

MILW By 8-14 points

4.0%

IU By 1-7 points

24.3%

IU By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
66
MILWAUKEE
75
INDIANA
Simulated Score
68
MILWAUKEE
75
INDIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hoosiers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hoosiers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hoosiers (+24.5) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Hoosiers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u165.5 Loss
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim u165.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 12, 2025 MILW @ IU 70 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +32.2% more
Indiana: 21.7 vs Milwaukee: 16.4
Blocks (L5) +15.4% more
Indiana: 3.0 vs Milwaukee: 2.6
Rebounding (L5) +9.8% more
Indiana: 36.4 vs Milwaukee: 33.2
Free Throw % (L5) +7.9%
Indiana: 76.1% vs Milwaukee: 68.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MILW Score 66.0 70
IU Score 75.0 101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.7 / 37.4 50.0 / 29.0
Assists 21.7 / 16.4 23.0 / 7.0
Blocks 3.0 / 2.6 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 48.4 / 47.8 57.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 76.1 / 68.2 70.0 / 39.0
Rebounding 36.4 / 33.2 35.0 / 31.0
Steals 5.8 / 8.4 8.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 9.6 / 9.8 7.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
11%MONEY89%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
19%TICKETS81%
9%MONEY91%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
74%MONEY26%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MILW
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -3.0
IU Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: -1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MILW
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -3.0
IU Advantage
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: -1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
MILW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -1.0
IU
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3% Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IU
MILW
IU
MILW
ML
66% 21-11
50% 16-16
71% 22-9
69% 22-10
ATS
53% 17-15
47% 15-17
71% 22-9
69% 22-10
TTL
56% 18-14
59% 19-13
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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