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MINNESOTA

GOLDEN GOPHERSMINN

2-0  |  Road

60
FINAL
Wed, Nov 12 • 8:00 PM ET
Mizzou Arena
View Odds Details →

MISSOURI

TIGERSMIZ

3-0  |  Home

83
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN GOPHERS
0%
📊
TIGERS
100%
GOLDEN GOPHERS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Minnesota)
Golden GophersMINN (-3.5) 0 TigersMIZ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Gophers Cover

65.5%

Tigers Cover

34.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MINN -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MINN)

MINN By 1-7 points

27.4%

MINN By 8-14 points

21.6%

MIZ By 1-7 points

20.1%

MIZ By 8-14 points

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
72
MINNESOTA
68
MISSOURI
Simulated Score
68
MINNESOTA
72
MISSOURI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Golden Gophers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Golden Gophers (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 12, 2025 MINN @ MIZ 60 - 83
Nov 16, 2023 MIZ @ MINN 70 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +41.7% more
Minnesota: 4.9 vs Missouri: 2.9
Assists (L5) +15.0% more
Minnesota: 18.1 vs Missouri: 15.4
Free Throw % (L5) +6.8%
Minnesota: 74.0% vs Missouri: 67.2%
Steals (L5) +19.1% more
Missouri: 9.5 vs Minnesota: 8.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MINN Score 72.0 60
MIZ Score 68.0 83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.6 / 30.6 50.0 / 22.0
Assists 15.4 / 18.1 15.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.9 / 4.9 2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 53.0 / 46.5 59.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 67.2 / 74.0 70.0 / 53.0
Rebounding 39.6 / 42.5 25.0 / 34.0
Steals 9.5 / 8.0 7.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 14.1 / 12.4 9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
8%MONEY92%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
21%TICKETS79%
17%MONEY83%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
95%MONEY5%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MINN
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -1.1
MIZ Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 3.8 ATS +/-: -2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MINN Advantage
14-18-1 (43.8%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -1.1
MIZ
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: 3.8 ATS +/-: -2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
MINN
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6% Total +/-: -3.9
MIZ
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIZ
MINN
MIZ
MINN
ML
61% 20-13
48% 16-17
69% 22-10
71% 22-9
ATS
70% 23-10
55% 18-15
69% 22-10
71% 22-9
TTL
79% 26-7
52% 17-16
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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