FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
KNIGHTSFDU
0-2 | Road
58
TEXAS
LONGHORNSTEX
1-1 | Home
93
AI Model Win Probability
KNIGHTS
100%
LONGHORNS
0%
KNIGHTS
--
LONGHORNS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Texas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TEX -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)
FDU By 1-7 points
12.2%
FDU By 8-14 points
4.0%
TEX By 1-7 points
24.3%
TEX By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Fairleigh Dickinson
69
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Texas
78
TEXAS
Simulated Score
Fairleigh Dickinson
61
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Texas
82
TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Longhorns
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Longhorns
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Longhorns (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Longhorns (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 12, 2025
FDU @ TEX
58 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+46.1% more
Texas: 3.7
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 2.5
Rebounding (L5)
+14.1% more
Texas: 38.5
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 33.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.2%
Texas: 75.9%
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 64.7%
Steals (L5)
+8.9% more
Texas: 6.6
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 6.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FDU Score
69.0
58
TEX Score
78.0
93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.0 / 32.6
26.0 / 28.0
Assists
13.2 / 12.7
12.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.7 / 2.5
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
44.8 / 43.3
52.0 / 31.0
Free Throw %
75.9 / 64.7
56.0 / 62.0
Rebounding
38.5 / 33.8
54.0 / 35.0
Steals
6.6 / 6.1
5.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
11.0 / 15.6
9.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FDU
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
TEX
Advantage
21-15-0
(58.3%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FDU
10-18-1
(35.7%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
TEX
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
FDU
9-20-0
O: 31.0% / U: 69.0%
Total +/-: -2.5
TEX
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEX
FDU
TEX
FDU
ML
58%
21-15
65%
20-11
56%
19-15
74%
23-8
ATS
56%
20-16
68%
21-10
56%
19-15
74%
23-8
TTL
64%
23-13
58%
18-13
100%
34-0
100%
31-0
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