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UT MARTIN

SKYHAWKSUTM

2-0  |  Road

78
FINAL
Wed, Nov 12 • 8:30 PM ET
Carver Arena
View Odds Details →

BRADLEY

BRAVESBRAD

1-1  |  Home

67
AI Model Win Probability
SKYHAWKS
100%
📊
BRAVES
0%
SKYHAWKS --
BRAVES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BRADLEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Bradley)
SkyhawksUTM (-3.5) 0 BravesBRAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Skyhawks Cover

46.0%

Braves Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BRAD -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BRAD)

UTM By 1-7 points

24.3%

UTM By 8-14 points

13.7%

BRAD By 1-7 points

26.2%

BRAD By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
68
UT MARTIN
69
BRADLEY
Simulated Score
67
UT MARTIN
78
BRADLEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Braves Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Braves Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Braves (+15.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Braves (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u144.5 Loss
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 12, 2025 UTM @ BRAD 78 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5) +2.1%
Bradley: 48.5% vs UT Martin: 46.3%
Steals (L5) +42.6% more
UT Martin: 12.3 vs Bradley: 7.0
Turnovers (L5) +22.7% more
UT Martin: 13.4 vs Bradley: 10.3
Assists (L5) +21.1% more
UT Martin: 17.5 vs Bradley: 13.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTM Score 68.0 78
BRAD Score 69.0 67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.1 / 34.1 15.0 / 46.0
Assists 13.8 / 17.5 10.0 / 17.0
Blocks 4.3 / 4.7 1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 48.5 / 46.3 33.0 / 56.0
Free Throw % 68.0 / 69.4 81.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 33.8 / 40.5 29.0 / 36.0
Steals 7.0 / 12.3 17.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.3 / 13.4 14.0 / 23.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
87%MONEY13%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
49%MONEY51%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
98%MONEY2%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTM Advantage
22-11-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 6.6 ATS +/-: +1.6
BRAD
21-13-0 (61.8%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTM Advantage
15-14-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 6.6 ATS +/-: +1.6
BRAD
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
UTM
9-21-0
O: 30.0% / U: 70.0% Total +/-: -8.2
BRAD
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4% Total +/-: +5.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BRAD
UTM
BRAD
UTM
ML
65% 22-12
69% 22-10
68% 23-11
69% 20-9
ATS
59% 20-14
56% 18-14
68% 23-11
69% 20-9
TTL
68% 23-11
44% 14-18
100% 34-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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