MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
7-4 | Road
100
CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
3-7 | Home
111
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
100%
HORNETS
0%
BUCKS
--
HORNETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
247.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Charlotte)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHA)
MIL By 1-7 points
24.3%
MIL By 8-14 points
13.7%
CHA By 1-7 points
26.2%
CHA By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
123
MILWAUKEE
Charlotte
124
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
105
MILWAUKEE
Charlotte
120
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hornets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hornets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hornets (+2)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Hornets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o228.0
Loss
Proj Total: 247.0
D
Sim
u228.0
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 2, 2026
CHA @ MIL
121 - 122
Dec 29, 2025
MIL @ CHA
123 - 113
Nov 14, 2025
CHA @ MIL
134 - 147
Nov 12, 2025
MIL @ CHA
100 - 111
Feb 5, 2025
MIL @ CHA
112 - 102
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+41.1% more
Charlotte: 17.5
vs
Milwaukee: 12.4
Blocks (L5)
+13.4% more
Charlotte: 5.8
vs
Milwaukee: 5.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+12.2%
Charlotte: 78.8%
vs
Milwaukee: 66.6%
Steals (L5)
+38.2% more
Milwaukee: 8.3
vs
Charlotte: 5.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
123.0
100
CHA Score
124.0
111
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.6 / 40.4
30.0 / 40.0
Assists
22.5 / 23.7
27.0 / 29.0
Blocks
5.8 / 5.2
5.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
47.3 / 48.9
44.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
78.8 / 66.6
85.0 / 62.0
Rebounding
41.1 / 38.2
50.0 / 34.0
Steals
5.1 / 8.3
5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
17.5 / 12.4
16.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
CHA
Advantage
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
MIL
CHA
MIL
ML
61%
60-39
64%
61-35
48%
40-44
60%
49-32
ATS
60%
59-40
68%
65-31
48%
40-44
60%
49-32
TTL
58%
57-42
55%
53-43
100%
84-0
100%
81-0
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