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WASHINGTON

WIZARDSWSH

1-10  |  Road

112
FINAL
Wed, Nov 12 • 8:00 PM ET
Toyota Center (Houston)
View Odds Details →

HOUSTON

ROCKETSHOU

6-3  |  Home

135
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
📊
ROCKETS
0%
WIZARDS --
ROCKETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
267.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Houston)
WizardsWSH (-3.5) 0 RocketsHOU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wizards Cover

46.0%

Rockets Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HOU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOU)

WSH By 1-7 points

24.3%

WSH By 8-14 points

13.7%

HOU By 1-7 points

26.2%

HOU By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
133
WASHINGTON
134
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
118
WASHINGTON
109
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Rockets Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wizards Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Rockets (+17) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Wizards (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o236.0 Win
Proj Total: 267.0
D
Sim u236.0 Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 2, 2026 HOU @ WSH 123 - 118
Nov 12, 2025 WSH @ HOU 112 - 135
Jan 7, 2025 HOU @ WSH 135 - 112
Nov 11, 2024 WSH @ HOU 92 - 107
Mar 19, 2024 HOU @ WSH 137 - 114
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +26.5% more
Houston: 8.6 vs Washington: 6.8
Rebounding (L5) +9.3% more
Houston: 45.4 vs Washington: 41.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.1%
Houston: 41.1% vs Washington: 36.0%
Field Goal % (L5) +1.6%
Houston: 49.0% vs Washington: 47.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WSH Score 133.0 112
HOU Score 134.0 135
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 41.1 / 36.0 49.0 / 39.0
Assists 23.4 / 23.1 32.0 / 25.0
Blocks 4.0 / 6.0 6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 49.0 / 47.4 53.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 73.7 / 72.2 70.0 / 68.0
Rebounding 45.4 / 41.5 53.0 / 37.0
Steals 8.6 / 6.8 9.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 17.2 / 18.0 12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
21%MONEY79%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
29%MONEY71%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
83%MONEY17%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0 (20.7%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
HOU Advantage
54-34-0 (61.4%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0 (40.2%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
HOU Advantage
38-50-0 (43.2%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7% Total +/-: +3.3
HOU
41-46-1
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9% Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
WSH
HOU
WSH
ML
61% 69-44
70% 112-49
59% 51-35
47% 39-44
ATS
62% 70-43
69% 111-49-1
59% 51-35
47% 39-44
TTL
51% 58-55
74% 119-41-1
100% 86-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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