Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Chanticleers WIN @ CCU

WINTHROP

EAGLESWIN

1-1  |  Road

66
FINAL
Tue, Nov 11 • 7:00 PM ET
The HTC Center
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COASTAL CAROLINA

CHANTICLEERSCCU

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72
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
CHANTICLEERS
0%
EAGLES --
CHANTICLEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
COASTAL CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (Coastal Carolina)
EaglesWIN (-3.5) 0 ChanticleersCCU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

0.8%

Chanticleers Cover

99.2%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CCU -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CCU)

WIN By 1-7 points

0.6%

WIN By 8-14 points

0.1%

CCU By 1-7 points

4.0%

CCU By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
64
WINTHROP
88
COASTAL CAROLINA
Simulated Score
73
WINTHROP
78
COASTAL CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Chanticleers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Chanticleers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Chanticleers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim Chanticleers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 6, 2025 CCU @ WIN 88 - 84
Nov 11, 2025 WIN @ CCU 66 - 72
Dec 7, 2024 CCU @ WIN 89 - 96
Dec 2, 2023 WIN @ CCU 90 - 87
Dec 3, 2022 CCU @ WIN 86 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +45.6% more
Coastal Carolina: 52.2 vs Winthrop: 35.9
Blocks (L5) +35.3% more
Coastal Carolina: 4.1 vs Winthrop: 3.0
Assists (L5) +26.9% more
Coastal Carolina: 16.8 vs Winthrop: 13.2
Turnovers (L5) +25.4% more
Coastal Carolina: 12.5 vs Winthrop: 10.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WIN Score 64.0 66
CCU Score 88.0 72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.7 / 35.6 46.0 / 32.0
Assists 16.8 / 13.2 11.0 / 7.0
Blocks 4.1 / 3.0 5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 44.2 / 42.8 45.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 68.1 / 73.3 57.0 / 57.0
Rebounding 52.2 / 35.9 45.0 / 28.0
Steals 5.4 / 7.9 3.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 12.5 / 10.0 17.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
59%MONEY41%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
52%MONEY48%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
69%MONEY31%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WIN Advantage
23-11-0 (67.7%)
Margin: 8.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
CCU
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WIN
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: 8.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
CCU Advantage
18-12-1 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
WIN
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.3
CCU
17-13-1
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: -0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CCU
WIN
CCU
WIN
ML
41% 13-19
70% 23-10
55% 17-14
79% 26-7
ATS
38% 12-20
79% 26-7
55% 17-14
79% 26-7
TTL
75% 24-8
58% 19-14
100% 31-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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