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JACKSONVILLE

DOLPHINSJAX

1-1  |  Road

64
FINAL
Tue, Nov 11 • 7:00 PM ET
Qubein Center
View Odds Details →

HIGH POINT

PANTHERSHPU

2-0  |  Home

85
AI Model Win Probability
DOLPHINS
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
DOLPHINS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
HIGH POINT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (High Point)
DolphinsJAX (-3.5) 0 PanthersHPU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dolphins Cover

34.5%

Panthers Cover

65.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HPU -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HPU)

JAX By 1-7 points

20.1%

JAX By 8-14 points

9.3%

HPU By 1-7 points

27.4%

HPU By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
68
JACKSONVILLE
72
HIGH POINT
Simulated Score
69
JACKSONVILLE
78
HIGH POINT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+18.5) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 11, 2025 JAX @ HPU 64 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +36.7% more
High Point: 13.6 vs Jacksonville: 9.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +9.8%
High Point: 41.6% vs Jacksonville: 31.8%
Free Throw % (L5) +8.4%
High Point: 69.0% vs Jacksonville: 60.6%
Assists (L5) +8.4% more
High Point: 18.2 vs Jacksonville: 16.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
JAX Score 68.0 64
HPU Score 72.0 85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 41.6 / 31.8 33.0 / 26.0
Assists 18.2 / 16.8 15.0 / 12.0
Blocks 3.9 / 4.3 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 57.4 / 50.0 44.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 69.0 / 60.6 77.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 34.1 / 39.6 38.0 / 43.0
Steals 13.6 / 9.9 9.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 9.5 / 12.3 3.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
6%MONEY94%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
24%MONEY76%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
47%MONEY53%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JAX
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-: -1.3
HPU Advantage
31-5-0 (86.1%)
Margin: 18.5 ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JAX
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-: -1.3
HPU Advantage
17-15-1 (53.1%)
Margin: 18.5 ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
JAX
12-18-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: +1.4
HPU
22-11-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HPU
JAX
HPU
JAX
ML
80% 28-7
74% 23-8
80% 28-7
60% 18-12
ATS
71% 25-10
65% 20-11
80% 28-7
61% 19-12
TTL
66% 23-12
65% 20-11
100% 35-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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