DAVIDSON
WILDCATSDAV
2-0 | Road
62
CHARLOTTE
49ERSCLT
2-0 | Home
55
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
100%
49ERS
0%
WILDCATS
--
49ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Charlotte)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLT -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLT)
DAV By 1-7 points
15.3%
DAV By 8-14 points
5.8%
CLT By 1-7 points
26.2%
CLT By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Davidson
69
DAVIDSON
Charlotte
76
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
Davidson
71
DAVIDSON
Charlotte
68
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
49ers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wildcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
49ers (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Wildcats (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o143.5
Loss
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 11, 2025
DAV @ CLT
62 - 55
Dec 10, 2024
CLT @ DAV
71 - 75
Nov 29, 2023
DAV @ CLT
85 - 81
Nov 29, 2022
CLT @ DAV
68 - 66
Nov 30, 2021
DAV @ CLT
75 - 58
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+17.8% more
Charlotte: 13.1
vs
Davidson: 11.1
Rebounding (L5)
+11.1% more
Charlotte: 34.2
vs
Davidson: 30.8
Steals (L5)
+29.3% more
Davidson: 7.7
vs
Charlotte: 5.4
Assists (L5)
+15.7% more
Davidson: 15.6
vs
Charlotte: 13.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DAV Score
69.0
62
CLT Score
76.0
55
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.1 / 39.5
29.0 / 43.0
Assists
13.1 / 15.6
11.0 / 14.0
Blocks
3.6 / 4.1
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
44.9 / 49.9
35.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
70.0 / 82.1
55.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
34.2 / 30.8
36.0 / 30.0
Steals
5.4 / 7.7
4.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 11.1
10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DAV
Advantage
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 4.1
ATS +/-: +0.9
CLT
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DAV
13-17-2
(43.3%)
Margin: 4.1
ATS +/-: +0.9
CLT
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
DAV
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -2.6
CLT
19-13-1
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6%
Total +/-: +3.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLT
DAV
CLT
DAV
ML
62%
21-13
64%
21-12
67%
22-11
58%
19-14
ATS
68%
23-11
48%
16-17
67%
22-11
58%
19-14
TTL
65%
22-12
52%
17-16
100%
33-0
100%
33-0
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