BUCKNELL
BISONBUCK
2-0 | Road
63
PRINCETON
TIGERSPRIN
0-1 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
BISON
0%
TIGERS
100%
BISON
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
BUCKNELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Bucknell)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BUCK -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUCK)
BUCK By 1-7 points
15.3%
BUCK By 8-14 points
25.3%
PRIN By 1-7 points
4.8%
PRIN By 8-14 points
1.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Bucknell
81
BUCKNELL
Princeton
66
PRINCETON
Simulated Score
Bucknell
62
BUCKNELL
Princeton
75
PRINCETON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bison
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bison (-4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o146.5
Loss
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 11, 2025
BUCK @ PRIN
63 - 73
Nov 29, 2023
PRIN @ BUCK
85 - 71
Dec 7, 2021
BUCK @ PRIN
69 - 82
Nov 30, 2019
PRIN @ BUCK
87 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+21.2% more
Bucknell: 6.1
vs
Princeton: 4.8
Blocks (L5)
+9.4% more
Bucknell: 3.2
vs
Princeton: 2.9
Rebounding (L5)
+8.5% more
Bucknell: 34.6
vs
Princeton: 31.7
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.5%
Bucknell: 46.6%
vs
Princeton: 41.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BUCK Score
81.0
63
PRIN Score
66.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.9 / 38.2
36.0 / 30.0
Assists
14.4 / 11.6
10.0 / 10.0
Blocks
2.9 / 3.2
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
41.2 / 46.6
42.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
77.3 / 70.8
66.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
31.7 / 34.6
38.0 / 33.0
Steals
4.8 / 6.1
5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 9.2
12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BUCK
10-23-0
(30.3%)
Margin: -8.9
ATS +/-: -3.9
PRIN
Advantage
9-20-0
(31.0%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BUCK
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -8.9
ATS +/-: -3.9
PRIN
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
BUCK
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: +1.3
PRIN
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6%
Total +/-: -2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PRIN
BUCK
PRIN
BUCK
ML
45%
13-16
55%
18-15
62%
18-11
64%
21-12
ATS
48%
14-15
45%
15-18
62%
18-11
64%
21-12
TTL
72%
21-8
61%
20-13
100%
29-0
100%
33-0
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