Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Green Wave @ Ragin' Cajuns TULN @ UL

TULANE

GREEN WAVETULN

2-0  |  Road

66
FINAL
Tue, Nov 11 • 8:00 PM ET
Cajundome
View Odds Details →

LOUISIANA

RAGIN' CAJUNSUL

1-1  |  Home

62
AI Model Win Probability
GREEN WAVE
0%
📊
RAGIN' CAJUNS
100%
GREEN WAVE --
RAGIN' CAJUNS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
131.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
TULANE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Tulane)
Green WaveTULN (-3.5) 0 Ragin' CajunsUL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Green Wave Cover

69.1%

Ragin' Cajuns Cover

30.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TULN -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TULN)

TULN By 1-7 points

27.2%

TULN By 8-14 points

23.0%

UL By 1-7 points

18.6%

UL By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
68
TULANE
63
LOUISIANA
Simulated Score
69
TULANE
73
LOUISIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Green Wave Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Ragin' Cajuns Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Green Wave (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Ragin' Cajuns (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 131.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 11, 2025 TULN @ UL 66 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +36.2% more
Tulane: 14.8 vs Louisiana: 9.4
Blocks (L5) +33.2% more
Tulane: 5.7 vs Louisiana: 3.8
Free Throw % (L5) +25.1%
Tulane: 85.0% vs Louisiana: 60.0%
Steals (L5) +21.7% more
Tulane: 8.3 vs Louisiana: 6.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TULN Score 68.0 66
UL Score 63.0 62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.5 / 42.3 30.0 / 21.0
Assists 9.4 / 14.8 9.0 / 5.0
Blocks 3.8 / 5.7 1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 43.5 / 46.5 36.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 60.0 / 85.0 52.0 / 78.0
Rebounding 29.2 / 29.3 33.0 / 32.0
Steals 6.5 / 8.3 6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.2 / 10.4 8.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
92%TICKETS8%
65%MONEY35%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
50%MONEY50%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
68%MONEY32%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TULN Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: -2.7
UL
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TULN Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: -2.7
UL
14-18-1 (43.8%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
TULN
13-18-1
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: -1.2
UL
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UL
TULN
UL
TULN
ML
66% 21-11
70% 23-10
63% 19-11
47% 15-17
ATS
66% 21-11
62% 20-12-1
63% 19-11
47% 15-17
TTL
62% 20-12
55% 18-15
100% 30-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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