AI Model Win Probability
BLUE HENS
100%
COUGARS
0%
BLUE HENS
--
COUGARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
BYU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (BYU)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BYU -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BYU)
DEL By 1-7 points
23.0%
DEL By 8-14 points
12.2%
BYU By 1-7 points
26.8%
BYU By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Delaware
75
DELAWARE
BYU
77
BYU
Simulated Score
Delaware
65
DELAWARE
BYU
78
BYU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cougars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cougars
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cougars (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Cougars (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 11, 2025
DEL @ BYU
68 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+33.9% more
BYU: 8.2
vs
Delaware: 6.1
Assists (L5)
+28.6% more
BYU: 16.8
vs
Delaware: 13.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.3%
BYU: 50.1%
vs
Delaware: 42.8%
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.0%
BYU: 78.5%
vs
Delaware: 76.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DEL Score
75.0
68
BYU Score
77.0
85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.0 / 29.8
38.0 / 46.0
Assists
16.8 / 13.0
14.0 / 8.0
Blocks
3.3 / 4.0
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
50.1 / 42.8
45.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
78.5 / 76.5
87.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
38.5 / 35.9
46.0 / 25.0
Steals
8.2 / 6.1
4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
8.1 / 12.3
7.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DEL
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -6.3
ATS +/-: -0.5
BYU
Advantage
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 8.1
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DEL
Advantage
15-14-1
(51.7%)
Margin: -6.3
ATS +/-: -0.5
BYU
16-19-0
(45.7%)
Margin: 8.1
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
DEL
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.0
BYU
17-18-0
O: 48.6% / U: 51.4%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BYU
DEL
BYU
DEL
ML
60%
21-14
45%
14-17
72%
23-9
52%
16-15
ATS
54%
19-16
61%
19-12
72%
23-9
52%
16-15
TTL
69%
24-11
65%
20-11
100%
32-0
100%
31-0