Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Tigers @ Rebels MEM @ MISS

MEMPHIS

TIGERSMEM

1-0  |  Road

77
FINAL
Tue, Nov 11 • 9:00 PM ET
The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss
View Odds Details →

OLE MISS

REBELSMISS

2-0  |  Home

83
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
📊
REBELS
100%
TIGERS --
REBELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
166.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
MEMPHIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Memphis)
TigersMEM (-3.5) 0 RebelsMISS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

84.1%

Rebels Cover

15.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MEM -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MEM)

MEM By 1-7 points

23.0%

MEM By 8-14 points

27.2%

MISS By 1-7 points

10.7%

MISS By 8-14 points

3.3%

AI Model Projected Score
88
MEMPHIS
78
OLE MISS
Simulated Score
71
MEMPHIS
74
OLE MISS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Tigers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rebels Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Tigers (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Rebels (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 166.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 11, 2025 MEM @ MISS 77 - 83
Dec 28, 2024 MISS @ MEM 70 - 87
Dec 2, 2023 MEM @ MISS 77 - 80
Dec 3, 2022 MISS @ MEM 57 - 68
Dec 4, 2021 MEM @ MISS 63 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +24.6% more
Memphis: 14.2 vs Ole Miss: 10.7
Blocks (L5) +22.8% more
Memphis: 5.2 vs Ole Miss: 4.0
Steals (L5) +20.4% more
Memphis: 10.6 vs Ole Miss: 8.4
Rebounding (L5) +9.3% more
Memphis: 42.5 vs Ole Miss: 38.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MEM Score 88.0 77
MISS Score 78.0 83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.0 / 33.1 62.0 / 33.0
Assists 15.4 / 14.2 17.0 / 20.0
Blocks 4.0 / 5.2 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 47.4 / 42.5 52.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 76.7 / 62.5 64.0 / 70.0
Rebounding 38.6 / 42.5 32.0 / 33.0
Steals 8.4 / 10.6 5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 10.7 / 14.2 7.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
9%TICKETS91%
22%MONEY78%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
36%MONEY64%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
19%MONEY81%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MEM Advantage
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -2.9
MISS
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MEM Advantage
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -2.9
MISS
--
⚖️ Over/Under
MEM
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.8
MISS
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MISS
MEM
MISS
MEM
ML
48% 16-17
62% 20-12
52% 17-16
68% 21-10
ATS
61% 20-13
62% 20-12
52% 17-16
68% 21-10
TTL
64% 21-12
66% 21-11
100% 33-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Big Ten Commissioner Tony Petitti Denies Any Expansion Talks Ami…
saturdaydownsouth 7 hours, 35 minutes ago
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
si 1 day, 1 hour ago
ACC Commissioner Jim Phillips Shrugs Off Realignment Buzz, Decla…
observer_reporter 2 days, 1 hour ago
Alabama's Keelon Russell Silences Doubters with Explosive Perfor…
si 5 days, 1 hour ago
Kentucky Appeals Court Ruling Shakes Up Eligibility for Mark Mit…
cbssports 6 days, 1 hour ago