TORONTO
MAPLE LEAFSTOR
8-7-1 | Road
3
BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
10-7-0 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Anthony Stolarz
#41 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Stolarz | None-None | 9.00 | 0.727 | -- |
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 3.01 | 0.909 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
9.00
GAA
Ldr 3.01
0.727
Save %
Ldr 0.909
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
MAPLE LEAFS
100%
BRUINS
0%
MAPLE LEAFS
--
BRUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BOS -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
TOR By 1 goal
12.1%
TOR By 2-3 goals
9.3%
BOS By 1 goal
19.7%
BOS By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
3
TORONTO
Boston
4
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Toronto
3
TORONTO
Boston
4
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bruins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bruins (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Bruins (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 24, 2026
TOR @ BOS
4 - 2
Nov 11, 2025
TOR @ BOS
3 - 5
Nov 8, 2025
BOS @ TOR
5 - 3
Feb 25, 2025
TOR @ BOS
5 - 4
Jan 4, 2025
BOS @ TOR
4 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+19.1% more
Boston: 29.6
vs
Toronto: 24.8
Power Play % (L5)
+19.1%
Boston: 42.7%
vs
Toronto: 23.6%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+18.2% more
Toronto: 17.1
vs
Boston: 14.0
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.5%
Toronto: 54.7%
vs
Boston: 51.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
3.0
3
BOS Score
4.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.0 / 17.1
11.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
51.3 / 54.7
40.3 / 59.7
Hits
21.8 / 22.9
20.0 / 30.0
Power Play %
42.7 / 23.6
50.0 / 20.0
Shots on Goal
29.6 / 24.8
32.0 / 33.0
Takeaways
5.0 / 4.6
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
TOR
BOS
TOR
ML
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
ATS
50%
2-2
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
TTL
75%
3-1
100%
4-0
0%
0-4
75%
3-1
Contextual Game News
Joseph Woll's Strong Start in Philadelphia Has Maple Leafs Fans …
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Nashville Predators' Early Season: Three Burning Questions After…
Steelers Bolster Secondary with Addition of Veteran Cornerback S…