LOS ANGELES
KINGSLA
7-5-4 | Road
5
MONTREAL
CANADIENSMTL
10-3-2 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Darcy Kuemper
#35 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Sam Montembeault
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darcy Kuemper | None-None | 1.02 | 0.955 | -- |
| Sam Montembeault | None-None | 4.02 | 0.840 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.02 Ldr
GAA
4.02
0.955 Ldr
Save %
0.840
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
100%
CANADIENS
0%
KINGS
--
CANADIENS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MONTREAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Montreal)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around MTL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MTL)
LA By 1 goal
12.1%
LA By 2-3 goals
9.3%
MTL By 1 goal
19.7%
MTL By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Montreal
4
MONTREAL
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Montreal
4
MONTREAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Canadiens
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Canadiens
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Canadiens (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Canadiens (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Push
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
MTL @ LA
4 - 3
Nov 11, 2025
LA @ MTL
5 - 1
Feb 5, 2025
MTL @ LA
3 - 6
Oct 17, 2024
LA @ MTL
4 - 1
Dec 7, 2023
LA @ MTL
4 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+70.4% more
Montreal: 21.4
vs
Los Angeles: 12.6
Blocked Shots (L5)
+41.0% more
Montreal: 16.5
vs
Los Angeles: 11.7
Takeaways (L5)
+16.5% more
Montreal: 4.1
vs
Los Angeles: 3.5
Power Play % (L5)
+3.5%
Montreal: 21.5%
vs
Los Angeles: 17.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LA Score
3.0
5
MTL Score
4.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.5 / 11.7
15.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
54.0 / 52.0
49.1 / 50.9
Hits
21.4 / 12.6
21.0 / 10.0
Power Play %
2145.0 / 1792.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
22.4 / 28.7
22.0 / 26.0
Takeaways
4.1 / 3.5
6.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MTL
LA
MTL
LA
ML
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
ATS
67%
2-1
100%
3-0
100%
3-0
67%
2-1
TTL
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
0%
0-3
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