CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
4-11-2 | Road
2
ST. LOUIS
BLUESSTL
5-8-3 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Dustin Wolf
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jordan Binnington
#50 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Wolf | None-None | 3.09 | 0.903 | -- |
| Jordan Binnington | None-None | 2.00 | 0.950 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.09
GAA
Ldr 2.00
0.903
Save %
Ldr 0.950
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
0%
BLUES
100%
FLAMES
--
BLUES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
CALGARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Calgary)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CGY -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)
CGY By 1 goal
6.6%
CGY By 2-3 goals
29.6%
STL By 1 goal
0.9%
STL By 2-3 goals
0.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Calgary
5
CALGARY
St. Louis
1
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
Calgary
3
CALGARY
St. Louis
4
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Flames
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blues
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Flames (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim
Blues (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 18, 2026
STL @ CGY
1 - 2
Nov 11, 2025
CGY @ STL
2 - 3
Oct 11, 2025
STL @ CGY
4 - 2
Jan 16, 2025
CGY @ STL
1 - 4
Jan 14, 2025
CGY @ STL
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+29.3% more
Calgary: 31.5
vs
St. Louis: 22.3
Takeaways (L5)
+17.0% more
Calgary: 4.3
vs
St. Louis: 3.6
Blocked Shots (L5)
+30.2% more
St. Louis: 19.4
vs
Calgary: 14.9
Power Play % (L5)
+23.0%
St. Louis: 25.7%
vs
Calgary: 2.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CGY Score
5.0
2
STL Score
1.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
19.4 / 14.9
18.0 / 5.0
Faceoff %
51.4 / 52.2
48.1 / 51.9
Hits
23.6 / 21.1
25.0 / 15.0
Power Play %
25.7 / 2.7
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
22.3 / 31.5
31.0 / 40.0
Takeaways
3.6 / 4.3
6.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
CGY
STL
CGY
ML
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
ATS
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
50%
1-1-1
67%
2-1
50%
1-1-1
0%
0-3
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
Flames Promote Aydar Suniev and Jonathan Castagna to Fill Roster…
Blackhawks Celebrate Kane's Return with First Win of Season
Blackhawks Edge Blues 4-2 in Kane's Emotional Chicago Homecoming
Avalanche Crush Blues 6-1 as Necas Shines with Three Points