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CHARLESTON SOUTHERN

BUCCANEERSCHSO

1-1  |  Road

96
FINAL
Mon, Nov 10 • 7:00 PM ET
McAlister Field House
View Odds Details →

THE CITADEL

BULLDOGSCIT

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86
AI Model Win Probability
BUCCANEERS
0%
📊
BULLDOGS
100%
BUCCANEERS --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
THE CITADEL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
BuccaneersCHSO (-3.5) 0 BulldogsCIT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Buccaneers Cover

42.1%

Bulldogs Cover

57.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CIT +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CIT)

CHSO By 1-7 points

26.8%

CHSO By 8-14 points

18.6%

CIT By 1-7 points

23.0%

CIT By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
71
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
69
THE CITADEL
Simulated Score
68
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
72
THE CITADEL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Buccaneers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u145.5 Loss
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 10, 2025 CHSO @ CIT 96 - 86
Nov 28, 2023 CHSO @ CIT 52 - 81
Nov 30, 2022 CIT @ CHSO 76 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +24.7% more
Charleston Southern: 2.4 vs The Citadel: 1.8
Assists (L5) +22.9% more
Charleston Southern: 16.7 vs The Citadel: 12.9
Turnovers (L5) +17.5% more
Charleston Southern: 13.1 vs The Citadel: 10.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +6.3%
Charleston Southern: 31.8% vs The Citadel: 25.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHSO Score 71.0 96
CIT Score 69.0 86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 25.5 / 31.8 40.0 / 44.0
Assists 12.9 / 16.7 9.0 / 24.0
Blocks 1.8 / 2.4 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 37.3 / 42.5 51.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 63.1 / 62.8 67.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 38.1 / 40.9 27.0 / 40.0
Steals 6.6 / 5.4 4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.8 / 13.1 8.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
46%MONEY54%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
32%MONEY68%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
83%MONEY17%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHSO Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: +2.0
CIT
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHSO
14-15-0 (48.3%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: +2.0
CIT Advantage
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CHSO
19-10-0
O: 65.5% / U: 34.5% Total +/-: +4.6
CIT
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CIT
CHSO
CIT
CHSO
ML
59% 19-13
43% 13-17
62% 20-12
67% 20-10
ATS
62% 20-12
50% 15-15
64% 21-12
68% 21-10
TTL
53% 17-15
50% 15-15
100% 33-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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