Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Blue Hose @ Panthers PRES @ GAST

PRESBYTERIAN

BLUE HOSEPRES

2-1  |  Road

63
FINAL
Mon, Nov 10 • 7:00 PM ET
GSU Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

GEORGIA STATE

PANTHERSGAST

0-2  |  Home

61
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE HOSE
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
BLUE HOSE --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
GEORGIA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Georgia State)
Blue HosePRES (-3.5) 0 PanthersGAST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blue Hose Cover

13.6%

Panthers Cover

86.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GAST -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GAST)

PRES By 1-7 points

9.3%

PRES By 8-14 points

2.7%

GAST By 1-7 points

21.6%

GAST By 8-14 points

27.4%

AI Model Projected Score
65
PRESBYTERIAN
76
GEORGIA STATE
Simulated Score
68
PRESBYTERIAN
76
GEORGIA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (-2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o140.5 Loss
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 10, 2025 PRES @ GAST 63 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +10.5% more
Georgia State: 6.4 vs Presbyterian: 5.8
Free Throw % (L5) +4.2%
Georgia State: 74.9% vs Presbyterian: 70.7%
Blocks (L5) +17.6% more
Presbyterian: 4.6 vs Georgia State: 3.8
Assists (L5) +14.0% more
Presbyterian: 12.5 vs Georgia State: 10.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PRES Score 65.0 63
GAST Score 76.0 61
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.6 / 34.7 27.0 / 40.0
Assists 10.8 / 12.5 12.0 / 12.0
Blocks 3.8 / 4.6 4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 40.2 / 46.2 39.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 74.9 / 70.7 72.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 36.9 / 36.0 30.0 / 30.0
Steals 6.4 / 5.8 8.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 14.2 / 13.8 10.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
15%TICKETS85%
3%MONEY97%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
21%MONEY79%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
92%MONEY8%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PRES Advantage
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: +0.7
GAST
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -4.3 ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PRES Advantage
17-13-0 (56.7%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: +0.7
GAST
13-17-0 (43.3%)
Margin: -4.3 ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
PRES
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +0.7
GAST
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: -2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GAST
PRES
GAST
PRES
ML
56% 18-14
69% 22-10
71% 22-9
80% 24-6
ATS
59% 19-13
59% 19-13
71% 22-9
80% 24-6
TTL
59% 19-13
59% 19-13
100% 31-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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