Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Sycamores @ Cougars INST @ SIUE

INDIANA STATE

SYCAMORESINST

1-1  |  Road

64
FINAL
Mon, Nov 10 • 7:00 PM ET
First Community Arena
View Odds Details →

SIU EDWARDSVILLE

COUGARSSIUE

2-0  |  Home

55
AI Model Win Probability
SYCAMORES
0%
📊
COUGARS
100%
SYCAMORES --
COUGARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
INDIANA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Indiana State)
SycamoresINST (-3.5) 0 CougarsSIUE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Sycamores Cover

61.8%

Cougars Cover

38.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around INST -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (INST)

INST By 1-7 points

27.2%

INST By 8-14 points

20.1%

SIUE By 1-7 points

21.6%

SIUE By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
72
INDIANA STATE
69
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
Simulated Score
78
INDIANA STATE
67
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Sycamores Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Sycamores Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Sycamores (-1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Sycamores (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 10, 2025 INST @ SIUE 64 - 55
Nov 12, 2024 SIUE @ INST 77 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +30.0% more
Indiana State: 18.9 vs SIU Edwardsville: 13.3
Free Throw % (L5) +6.9%
Indiana State: 70.7% vs SIU Edwardsville: 63.7%
Field Goal % (L5) +3.9%
Indiana State: 50.6% vs SIU Edwardsville: 46.7%
Blocks (L5) +57.7% more
SIU Edwardsville: 3.7 vs Indiana State: 2.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
INST Score 72.0 64
SIUE Score 69.0 55
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.2 / 31.4 20.0 / 23.0
Assists 13.3 / 18.9 8.0 / 12.0
Blocks 3.7 / 2.3 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 46.7 / 50.6 34.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 63.7 / 70.7 62.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 43.6 / 36.7 40.0 / 43.0
Steals 8.6 / 6.8 11.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 13.7 / 12.1 15.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
22%MONEY78%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
39%MONEY61%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
95%MONEY5%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
INST
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +0.5
SIUE Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 6.3 ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
INST Advantage
17-12-1 (58.6%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +0.5
SIUE
15-14-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 6.3 ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
INST
13-17-0
O: 43.3% / U: 56.7% Total +/-: -3.9
SIUE
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1% Total +/-: -4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SIUE
INST
SIUE
INST
ML
65% 20-11
66% 21-11
60% 18-12
53% 17-15
ATS
55% 17-14
62% 20-12
60% 18-12
53% 17-15
TTL
48% 15-16
53% 17-15
100% 30-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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