Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Privateers @ Tigers UNO @ LSU

NEW ORLEANS

PRIVATEERSUNO

2-0  |  Road

58
FINAL
Mon, Nov 10 • 8:00 PM ET
Pete Maravich Assembly Center
View Odds Details →

LSU

TIGERSLSU

1-0  |  Home

93
AI Model Win Probability
PRIVATEERS
100%
📊
TIGERS
0%
PRIVATEERS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
LSU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (LSU)
PrivateersUNO (-3.5) 0 TigersLSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Privateers Cover

46.0%

Tigers Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LSU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LSU)

UNO By 1-7 points

24.3%

UNO By 8-14 points

13.7%

LSU By 1-7 points

26.2%

LSU By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
67
NEW ORLEANS
68
LSU
Simulated Score
65
NEW ORLEANS
78
LSU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 10, 2025 UNO @ LSU 58 - 93
Dec 22, 2024 UNO @ LSU 70 - 86
Nov 17, 2022 UNO @ LSU 62 - 91
Dec 3, 2019 UNO @ LSU 54 - 90
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +92.3% more
LSU: 4.3 vs New Orleans: 2.2
Field Goal % (L5) +6.7%
LSU: 49.7% vs New Orleans: 43.0%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.7%
LSU: 31.3% vs New Orleans: 28.6%
Rebounding (L5) +13.6% more
New Orleans: 38.8 vs LSU: 33.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNO Score 67.0 58
LSU Score 68.0 93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.3 / 28.6 37.0 / 24.0
Assists 13.1 / 12.6 21.0 / 7.0
Blocks 4.3 / 2.2 5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 49.7 / 43.0 44.0 / 30.0
Free Throw % 66.8 / 73.4 75.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 33.5 / 38.8 56.0 / 36.0
Steals 6.6 / 6.9 4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 13.9 / 14.6 7.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
23%MONEY77%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
23%TICKETS77%
41%MONEY59%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
77%MONEY23%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNO Advantage
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +3.4
LSU
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNO Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +3.4
LSU
--
⚖️ Over/Under
UNO
19-14-0
O: 57.6% / U: 42.4% Total +/-: +2.0
LSU
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LSU
UNO
LSU
UNO
ML
62% 20-12
52% 16-15
62% 20-12
57% 17-13
ATS
66% 21-11
52% 16-15
62% 20-12
57% 17-13
TTL
72% 23-9
58% 18-13
100% 32-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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