Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Lions @ Billikens LIN @ SLU

LINDENWOOD

LIONSLIN

1-1  |  Road

66
FINAL
Mon, Nov 10 • 8:00 PM ET
Chaifetz Arena
View Odds Details →

SAINT LOUIS

BILLIKENSSLU

2-0  |  Home

109
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
100%
📊
BILLIKENS
0%
LIONS --
BILLIKENS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SAINT LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Saint Louis)
LionsLIN (-3.5) 0 BillikensSLU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lions Cover

46.0%

Billikens Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SLU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SLU)

LIN By 1-7 points

24.3%

LIN By 8-14 points

13.7%

SLU By 1-7 points

26.2%

SLU By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
75
LINDENWOOD
76
SAINT LOUIS
Simulated Score
63
LINDENWOOD
78
SAINT LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Billikens Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Billikens Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Billikens (+23.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Billikens (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u165.5 Loss
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim u165.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 10, 2025 LIN @ SLU 66 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +21.8% more
Saint Louis: 13.9 vs Lindenwood: 11.4
Free Throw % (L5) +8.5%
Saint Louis: 79.2% vs Lindenwood: 70.7%
Field Goal % (L5) +5.6%
Saint Louis: 50.3% vs Lindenwood: 44.7%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.9%
Saint Louis: 35.5% vs Lindenwood: 30.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LIN Score 75.0 66
SLU Score 76.0 109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.5 / 30.6 52.0 / 25.0
Assists 14.2 / 16.5 16.0 / 7.0
Blocks 3.7 / 3.6 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 50.3 / 44.7 67.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 79.2 / 70.7 71.0 / 54.0
Rebounding 39.3 / 41.6 37.0 / 22.0
Steals 7.6 / 9.8 10.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 13.9 / 11.4 20.0 / 24.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
1%MONEY99%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
28%MONEY72%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
19%MONEY81%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIN
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: -0.2
SLU Advantage
29-6-0 (82.9%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIN
14-15-1 (48.3%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: -0.2
SLU Advantage
19-13-2 (59.4%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
LIN
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: -0.8
SLU
18-16-0
O: 52.9% / U: 47.1% Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SLU
LIN
SLU
LIN
ML
70% 23-10
47% 15-17
68% 21-10
61% 19-12
ATS
73% 24-9
34% 11-21
68% 21-10
61% 19-12
TTL
61% 20-13
53% 17-15
100% 31-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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