Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Broncos @ Musketeers SCU @ XAV

SANTA CLARA

BRONCOSSCU

2-0  |  Road

87
FINAL
Mon, Nov 10 • 8:30 PM ET
Cintas Center
View Odds Details →

XAVIER

MUSKETEERSXAV

2-0  |  Home

68
AI Model Win Probability
BRONCOS
100%
📊
MUSKETEERS
0%
BRONCOS --
MUSKETEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
177.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
XAVIER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Xavier)
BroncosSCU (-3.5) 0 MusketeersXAV (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Broncos Cover

46.0%

Musketeers Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around XAV -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (XAV)

SCU By 1-7 points

24.3%

SCU By 8-14 points

13.7%

XAV By 1-7 points

26.2%

XAV By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
88
SANTA CLARA
89
XAVIER
Simulated Score
71
SANTA CLARA
78
XAVIER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Musketeers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Musketeers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Musketeers (+4.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Musketeers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o155.5 Loss
Proj Total: 177.0
D
Sim u155.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 10, 2025 SCU @ XAV 87 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +16.8% more
Xavier: 8.5 vs Santa Clara: 7.3
Free Throw % (L5) +11.4%
Xavier: 72.6% vs Santa Clara: 61.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.6%
Xavier: 42.0% vs Santa Clara: 38.4%
Blocks (L5) +38.7% more
Santa Clara: 3.6 vs Xavier: 2.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SCU Score 88.0 87
XAV Score 89.0 68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 42.0 / 38.4 28.0 / 38.0
Assists 16.2 / 20.4 17.0 / 17.0
Blocks 2.2 / 3.6 5.0 / 11.0
Field Goal % 42.9 / 45.7 34.0 / 55.0
Free Throw % 72.6 / 61.2 74.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 30.4 / 43.5 33.0 / 42.0
Steals 8.5 / 7.3 6.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 9.5 / 11.7 13.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
18%TICKETS82%
46%MONEY54%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
63%MONEY37%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
78%MONEY22%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SCU Advantage
26-9-0 (74.3%)
Margin: 10.0 ATS +/-: +2.6
XAV
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: -2.3 ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SCU Advantage
17-16-1 (51.5%)
Margin: 10.0 ATS +/-: +2.6
XAV
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: -2.3 ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
SCU
20-13-1
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4% Total +/-: +4.0
XAV
25-8-0
O: 75.8% / U: 24.2% Total +/-: +6.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
XAV
SCU
XAV
SCU
ML
58% 19-14
44% 15-19
72% 23-9
73% 22-8
ATS
73% 24-9
53% 18-16
72% 23-9
74% 23-8
TTL
39% 13-20
47% 16-18
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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