Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Vikings @ Wildcats CLE @ NU

CLEVELAND STATE

VIKINGSCLE

1-1  |  Road

63
FINAL
Mon, Nov 10 • 8:30 PM ET
Welsh-Ryan Arena
View Odds Details →

NORTHWESTERN

WILDCATSNU

2-0  |  Home

110
AI Model Win Probability
VIKINGS
100%
📊
WILDCATS
0%
VIKINGS --
WILDCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
NORTHWESTERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Northwestern)
VikingsCLE (-3.5) 0 WildcatsNU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Vikings Cover

38.2%

Wildcats Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NU -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NU)

CLE By 1-7 points

21.6%

CLE By 8-14 points

10.7%

NU By 1-7 points

27.2%

NU By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
65
CLEVELAND STATE
68
NORTHWESTERN
Simulated Score
60
CLEVELAND STATE
75
NORTHWESTERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wildcats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wildcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Wildcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 10, 2025 CLE @ NU 63 - 110
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +26.1% more
Northwestern: 4.2 vs Cleveland State: 3.3
Assists (L5) +16.9% more
Northwestern: 15.8 vs Cleveland State: 13.5
Turnovers (L5) +26.0% more
Cleveland State: 12.8 vs Northwestern: 9.5
Free Throw % (L5) +8.5%
Cleveland State: 75.4% vs Northwestern: 66.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLE Score 65.0 63
NU Score 68.0 110
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.9 / 36.4 52.0 / 34.0
Assists 15.8 / 13.5 26.0 / 15.0
Blocks 4.2 / 3.3 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 44.1 / 44.6 60.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 66.9 / 75.4 77.0 / 38.0
Rebounding 37.5 / 36.9 40.0 / 27.0
Steals 5.9 / 5.9 10.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 9.5 / 12.8 7.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
8%MONEY92%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
49%MONEY51%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
82%MONEY18%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -0.3
NU Advantage
15-19-0 (44.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -0.3
NU Advantage
16-16-2 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
20-10-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +6.3
NU
15-18-1
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NU
CLE
NU
CLE
ML
47% 16-18
52% 17-16
68% 23-11
64% 21-12
ATS
50% 17-17
64% 21-12
68% 23-11
64% 21-12
TTL
53% 18-16
52% 17-16
100% 34-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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