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CAL STATE FULLERTON

TITANSCSUF

1-1  |  Road

65
FINAL
Mon, Nov 10 • 10:00 PM ET
Haas Pavilion
View Odds Details →

CALIFORNIA

GOLDEN BEARSCAL

2-0  |  Home

93
AI Model Win Probability
TITANS
100%
📊
GOLDEN BEARS
0%
TITANS --
GOLDEN BEARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
156.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
CALIFORNIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (California)
TitansCSUF (-3.5) 0 Golden BearsCAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Titans Cover

42.1%

Golden Bears Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CAL -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAL)

CSUF By 1-7 points

23.0%

CSUF By 8-14 points

12.2%

CAL By 1-7 points

26.8%

CAL By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
77
CAL STATE FULLERTON
79
CALIFORNIA
Simulated Score
70
CAL STATE FULLERTON
75
CALIFORNIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Golden Bears Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Bears Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Bears (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Golden Bears (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 156.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 10, 2025 CSUF @ CAL 65 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +6.2%
California: 77.4% vs Cal State Fullerton: 71.2%
Field Goal % (L5) +1.6%
California: 45.4% vs Cal State Fullerton: 43.8%
Turnovers (L5) +19.8% more
Cal State Fullerton: 15.1 vs California: 12.1
Assists (L5) +15.3% more
Cal State Fullerton: 14.6 vs California: 12.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CSUF Score 77.0 65
CAL Score 79.0 93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 25.2 / 27.9 37.0 / 21.0
Assists 12.4 / 14.6 17.0 / 15.0
Blocks 3.1 / 3.0 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 45.4 / 43.8 41.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 77.4 / 71.2 87.0 / 45.0
Rebounding 40.0 / 41.3 45.0 / 42.0
Steals 5.4 / 6.4 6.0 / 1.0
Turnovers 12.1 / 15.1 8.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
6%MONEY94%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
57%MONEY43%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
75%MONEY25%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CSUF
18-16-0 (52.9%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-: +3.0
CAL Advantage
22-12-0 (64.7%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CSUF Advantage
19-11-2 (63.3%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-: +3.0
CAL
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CSUF
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4% Total +/-: +0.6
CAL
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAL
CSUF
CAL
CSUF
ML
61% 20-13
68% 23-11
77% 24-7
76% 26-8
ATS
64% 21-12
68% 23-11
78% 25-7
76% 26-8
TTL
70% 23-10
59% 20-14
100% 32-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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