IOWA
IOWAIOWA
6-3 | Road
21
USC
USCUSC
7-2 | Home
26
Key Game
KEY GAME
Landyn Van Kekerix
#23 | Linebacker@
KEY GAME
Ryon Sayeri
#48 | Punter| Player | |
|---|---|
| Landyn Van Kekerix | None-None |
| Ryon Sayeri | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
IOWA
100%
USC
0%
IOWA
--
USC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
41.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
USC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (USC)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around USC -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (USC)
IOWA By 1-6 points
12.9%
IOWA By 7-13 points
9.6%
USC By 1-6 points
16.5%
USC By 7-13 points
19.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Iowa
17
IOWA
USC
24
USC
Simulated Score
Iowa
20
IOWA
USC
31
USC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
USC
Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim
USC
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
USC (-6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Sim
USC (-6.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u48.5
Win
Proj Total: 41.0
C
Sim
o48.5
Loss
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 15, 2025
IOWA @ USC
21 - 26
Dec 27, 2019
USC @ IOWA
24 - 49
Key Model Drivers
Total Yards (L5)
+58.3% more
USC: 445.1
vs
Iowa: 281.2
First Downs (L5)
+47.1% more
USC: 23.5
vs
Iowa: 16.0
Turnovers (L5)
+32.7% more
USC: 1.5
vs
Iowa: 1.1
Rushing Yards (L5)
+15.8% more
USC: 173.6
vs
Iowa: 150.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IOWA Score
17.0
21
USC Score
24.0
26
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
23.5 / 16.0
21.0 / 17.0
Rushing Yards
173.6 / 150.0
106.0 / 183.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.5 / 0.4
0.5 / 0.4
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.5
0.49 / 0.51
Total Yards
445.1 / 281.2
360.0 / 320.0
Turnovers
1.5 / 1.1
0.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IOWA
4-1-0
(80.0%)
Margin: 16.4
ATS +/-: +3.7
USC
Advantage
5-1-0
(83.3%)
Margin: 11.8
ATS +/-: -7.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IOWA
Advantage
3-2-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 16.4
ATS +/-: +3.7
USC
1-5-0
(16.7%)
Margin: 11.8
ATS +/-: -7.3
⚖️ Over/Under
IOWA
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0%
Total +/-: -2.7
USC
4-2-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3%
Total +/-: +4.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
USC
IOWA
USC
IOWA
ML
100%
6-0
80%
4-1
83%
5-1
80%
4-1
ATS
67%
4-2
60%
3-2
67%
4-2
40%
2-3
TTL
50%
3-3
20%
1-4
50%
3-3
0%
0-5
Contextual Game News
Bryce Young Returns to Tuscaloosa as ESPN College GameDay Guest …
USC Linebackers Shine in Win Over Washington, Three Earn Game Ba…
Kirby Smart Addresses Uncertainty Surrounding Georgia-Alabama Ga…
UCLA Gears Up for Dual Threat: Oregon's Raiola and Moore Demand …
USC Football Cranks Up Volume to Simulate Penn State's White Out