Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Georgia Tech @ Boston College GT @ BC

GEORGIA TECH

GEORGIA TECHGT

8-1  |  Road

36
FINAL
Sat, Nov 15 • 3:30 PM ET
Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
View Odds Details →

BOSTON COLLEGE

BOSTON COLLEGEBC

1-9  |  Home

34
Key Game
Aidan Birr
KEY GAME

Aidan Birr

#33 | Place kicker
@
Luca Lombardo
KEY GAME

Luca Lombardo

#99 | Place kicker
Player
Aidan Birr None-None
Luca Lombardo None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
GEORGIA TECH
0%
📊
BOSTON COLLEGE
100%
GEORGIA TECH --
BOSTON COLLEGE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
48.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
GEORGIA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Georgia Tech)
Georgia TechGT (-3.5) 0 Boston CollegeBC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Georgia Tech Cover

97.7%

Boston College Cover

2.3%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around GT -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GT)

GT By 1-6 points

3.8%

GT By 7-13 points

8.8%

BC By 1-6 points

1.4%

BC By 7-13 points

0.5%

AI Model Projected Score
38
GEORGIA TECH
10
BOSTON COLLEGE
Simulated Score
24
GEORGIA TECH
28
BOSTON COLLEGE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Georgia Tech Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Boston College Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Georgia Tech (+16.5) Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
C
Sim Boston College (-16.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u61.5 Loss
Proj Total: 48.0
C
Sim u61.5 Loss
Proj Total: 52.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 15, 2025 GT @ BC 36 - 34
Oct 21, 2023 BC @ GT 38 - 23
Nov 13, 2021 BC @ GT 41 - 30
Oct 24, 2020 GT @ BC 27 - 48
Sep 3, 2016 GT @ BC 17 - 14
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +53.8% more
Georgia Tech: 197.4 vs Boston College: 91.2
Total Yards (L5) +30.9% more
Georgia Tech: 498.7 vs Boston College: 344.6
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +26.0% more
Georgia Tech: 0.6 vs Boston College: 0.3
First Downs (L5) +17.9% more
Georgia Tech: 26.4 vs Boston College: 21.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GT Score 38.0 36
BC Score 10.0 34
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 21.7 / 26.4 24.0 / 30.0
Rushing Yards 91.2 / 197.4 175.0 / 257.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.6 0.45 / 0.58
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.45 / 0.55
Total Yards 344.6 / 498.7 537.0 / 628.0
Turnovers 2.9 / 0.8 0.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
98%TICKETS2%
88%MONEY12%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
82%TICKETS18%
83%MONEY17%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
68%MONEY32%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GT
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -7.9
BC Advantage
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -4.4 ATS +/-: -3.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GT
0-4-0 (0.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -7.9
BC Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: -4.4 ATS +/-: -3.8
⚖️ Over/Under
GT
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.8
BC
0-5-0
O: 0.0% / U: 100.0% Total +/-: -9.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BC
GT
BC
GT
ML
80% 4-1
25% 1-3
80% 4-1
25% 1-3
ATS
60% 3-2
25% 1-3
80% 4-1
75% 3-1
TTL
20% 1-4
25% 1-3
20% 1-4
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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