Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Louisiana Tech @ Washington St LT @ WSU

LOUISIANA TECH

LOUISIANA TECHLT

5-4  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Nov 15 • 10:00 PM ET
Martin Stadium
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON STATE

WASHINGTON STWSU

4-5  |  Home

28
Key Game
Dedrick Latulas
KEY GAME

Dedrick Latulas

#3 | Wide Receiver
@
Jack Stevens
KEY GAME

Jack Stevens

#38 | Place kicker
Player
Dedrick Latulas None-None
Jack Stevens None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
LOUISIANA TECH
0%
📊
WASHINGTON ST
100%
LOUISIANA TECH --
WASHINGTON ST --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
34.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
LOUISIANA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Louisiana Tech)
Louisiana TechLT (-3.5) 0 Washington StWSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Louisiana Tech Cover

84.1%

Washington St Cover

15.9%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around LT -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LT)

LT By 1-6 points

12.9%

LT By 7-13 points

19.0%

WSU By 1-6 points

7.9%

WSU By 7-13 points

4.7%

AI Model Projected Score
24
LOUISIANA TECH
10
WASHINGTON STATE
Simulated Score
20
LOUISIANA TECH
27
WASHINGTON STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Louisiana Tech Loss
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Washington St Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Louisiana Tech (-10) Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
C
Sim Washington St (+10) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u43.5 Win
Proj Total: 34.0
C
Sim o43.5 Loss
Proj Total: 47.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 15, 2025 LT @ WSU 3 - 28
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +33.3% more
Louisiana Tech: 194.7 vs Washington State: 129.8
Total Yards (L5) +25.3% more
Louisiana Tech: 412.7 vs Washington State: 308.4
First Downs (L5) +19.7% more
Louisiana Tech: 22.8 vs Washington State: 18.3
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +15.0% more
Louisiana Tech: 0.5 vs Washington State: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LT Score 24.0 3
WSU Score 10.0 28
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 18.3 / 22.8 19.0 / 11.0
Rushing Yards 129.8 / 194.7 157.0 / 107.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.5 0.46 / 0.27
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.58 / 0.42
Total Yards 308.4 / 412.7 303.0 / 167.0
Turnovers 1.7 / 1.4 0.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
14%MONEY86%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
22%MONEY78%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
56%MONEY44%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LT Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +9.1
WSU
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -6.0 ATS +/-: -3.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LT Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +9.1
WSU
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: -6.0 ATS +/-: -3.6
⚖️ Over/Under
LT
4-0-0
O: 100.0% / U: 0.0% Total +/-: +13.0
WSU
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: -4.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSU
LT
WSU
LT
ML
80% 4-1
100% 4-0
100% 5-0
50% 2-2
ATS
40% 2-3
75% 3-1
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
TTL
40% 2-3
50% 2-2
40% 2-3
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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