MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
6-4 | Road
120
UTAH
JAZZUTAH
3-6 | Home
113
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
100%
JAZZ
0%
TIMBERWOLVES
--
JAZZ
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
231.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-37.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +37.0 points (Utah)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTAH -37.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)
MIN By 1-7 points
0.0%
MIN By 8-14 points
0.0%
UTAH By 1-7 points
0.1%
UTAH By 8-14 points
1.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
97
MINNESOTA
Utah
134
UTAH
Simulated Score
Minnesota
109
MINNESOTA
Utah
115
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Jazz
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jazz
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jazz (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Sim
Jazz (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u234.5
Win
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Sim
u234.5
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 18, 2026
UTAH @ MIN
111 - 147
Jan 20, 2026
MIN @ UTAH
122 - 127
Nov 10, 2025
MIN @ UTAH
120 - 113
Nov 7, 2025
UTAH @ MIN
97 - 137
Apr 13, 2025
UTAH @ MIN
105 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+64.4% more
Minnesota: 6.3
vs
Utah: 2.2
Assists (L5)
+17.4% more
Minnesota: 27.1
vs
Utah: 22.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+15.3%
Minnesota: 43.7%
vs
Utah: 28.4%
Steals (L5)
+14.7% more
Minnesota: 8.2
vs
Utah: 7.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
97.0
120
UTAH Score
134.0
113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.4 / 43.7
33.0 / 30.0
Assists
22.4 / 27.1
30.0 / 25.0
Blocks
2.2 / 6.3
5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
42.0 / 53.2
40.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
68.0 / 74.7
83.0 / 93.0
Rebounding
37.7 / 40.3
50.0 / 42.0
Steals
7.0 / 8.2
5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
14.2 / 13.9
15.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
UTAH
Advantage
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
MIN
UTAH
MIN
ML
60%
96-63
54%
63-53
48%
40-43
54%
50-43
ATS
68%
108-51
58%
67-49
48%
40-43
54%
50-43
TTL
75%
119-39-1
63%
72-43-1
100%
83-0
100%
93-0
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