Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Hoosiers @ Golden Eagles IU @ MARQ

INDIANA

HOOSIERSIU

1-0  |  Road

100
FINAL
Sun, Nov 9 • 1:00 PM ET
United Center
View Odds Details →

MARQUETTE

GOLDEN EAGLESMARQ

2-0  |  Home

77
AI Model Win Probability
HOOSIERS
100%
📊
GOLDEN EAGLES
0%
HOOSIERS --
GOLDEN EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MARQUETTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Marquette)
HoosiersIU (-3.5) 0 Golden EaglesMARQ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hoosiers Cover

46.0%

Golden Eagles Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MARQ -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MARQ)

IU By 1-7 points

24.3%

IU By 8-14 points

13.7%

MARQ By 1-7 points

26.2%

MARQ By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
69
INDIANA
70
MARQUETTE
Simulated Score
72
INDIANA
77
MARQUETTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Golden Eagles Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Eagles (+2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Golden Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u157.5 Loss
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 9, 2025 IU @ MARQ 100 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +71.3% more
Marquette: 9.8 vs Indiana: 5.7
Blocks (L5) +38.3% more
Marquette: 4.1 vs Indiana: 3.0
Turnovers (L5) +11.1% more
Marquette: 11.6 vs Indiana: 10.4
Assists (L5) +17.5% more
Indiana: 19.0 vs Marquette: 15.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
IU Score 69.0 100
MARQ Score 70.0 77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.2 / 34.6 25.0 / 50.0
Assists 15.7 / 19.0 10.0 / 27.0
Blocks 4.1 / 3.0 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 44.9 / 47.6 37.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 71.1 / 72.7 88.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 38.0 / 37.7 39.0 / 34.0
Steals 9.8 / 5.7 3.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.6 / 10.4 15.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
70%MONEY30%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
87%MONEY13%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
79%MONEY21%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IU Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: -1.8
MARQ
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IU Advantage
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: -1.8
MARQ
12-19-1 (38.7%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
IU
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3% Total +/-: -0.7
MARQ
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: -1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MARQ
IU
MARQ
IU
ML
59% 19-13
66% 21-11
62% 20-12
71% 22-9
ATS
53% 17-15
53% 17-15
62% 20-12
71% 22-9
TTL
50% 16-16
56% 18-14
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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