Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Catamounts @ Bears UVM @ BRWN

VERMONT

CATAMOUNTSUVM

2-0  |  Road

89
FINAL
Sun, Nov 9 • 2:00 PM ET
Pizzitola Sports Center
View Odds Details →

BROWN

BEARSBRWN

0-1  |  Home

84
AI Model Win Probability
CATAMOUNTS
0%
📊
BEARS
100%
CATAMOUNTS --
BEARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
VERMONT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Vermont)
CatamountsUVM (-3.5) 0 BearsBRWN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Catamounts Cover

75.8%

Bears Cover

24.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UVM -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UVM)

UVM By 1-7 points

26.2%

UVM By 8-14 points

25.3%

BRWN By 1-7 points

15.3%

BRWN By 8-14 points

5.8%

AI Model Projected Score
76
VERMONT
69
BROWN
Simulated Score
75
VERMONT
68
BROWN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Catamounts Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Catamounts Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Catamounts (+5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Catamounts (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o131.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim u131.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 9, 2025 UVM @ BRWN 89 - 84
Dec 3, 2024 BRWN @ UVM 60 - 53
Jan 2, 2024 UVM @ BRWN 71 - 70
Nov 7, 2022 BRWN @ UVM 65 - 80
Dec 10, 2021 UVM @ BRWN 70 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +27.1% more
Vermont: 16.3 vs Brown: 11.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +16.2%
Vermont: 37.2% vs Brown: 21.0%
Blocks (L5) +13.8% more
Vermont: 6.3 vs Brown: 5.4
Field Goal % (L5) +12.6%
Vermont: 49.3% vs Brown: 36.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UVM Score 76.0 89
BRWN Score 69.0 84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 21.0 / 37.2 39.0 / 31.0
Assists 11.9 / 16.3 22.0 / 12.0
Blocks 5.4 / 6.3 4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 36.7 / 49.3 45.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 64.8 / 68.9 54.0 / 86.0
Rebounding 37.3 / 42.4 42.0 / 46.0
Steals 6.6 / 4.7 4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 12.9 / 11.3 13.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
88%TICKETS12%
71%MONEY29%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
44%MONEY56%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
46%MONEY54%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UVM Advantage
22-12-0 (64.7%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: -2.4
BRWN
9-18-0 (33.3%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UVM
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: -2.4
BRWN Advantage
14-12-0 (53.8%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
UVM
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.9
BRWN
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BRWN
UVM
BRWN
UVM
ML
56% 15-12
56% 19-15
67% 18-9
65% 22-12
ATS
59% 16-11
62% 21-13
67% 18-9
65% 22-12
TTL
59% 16-11
47% 16-18
100% 27-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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