Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Bulldogs MORE @ UGA

MOREHEAD STATE

EAGLESMORE

1-1  |  Road

81
FINAL
Sun, Nov 9 • 2:00 PM ET
Stegeman Coliseum
View Odds Details →

GEORGIA

BULLDOGSUGA

2-0  |  Home

120
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
BULLDOGS
0%
EAGLES --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
129.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
GEORGIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Georgia)
EaglesMORE (-3.5) 0 BulldogsUGA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

38.2%

Bulldogs Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UGA -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UGA)

MORE By 1-7 points

21.6%

MORE By 8-14 points

10.7%

UGA By 1-7 points

27.2%

UGA By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
63
MOREHEAD STATE
66
GEORGIA
Simulated Score
63
MOREHEAD STATE
82
GEORGIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 129.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 9, 2025 MORE @ UGA 81 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +72.7% more
Georgia: 13.0 vs Morehead State: 7.5
Blocks (L5) +51.5% more
Georgia: 5.2 vs Morehead State: 3.4
Rebounding (L5) +24.5% more
Georgia: 41.4 vs Morehead State: 33.2
Free Throw % (L5) +6.4%
Georgia: 78.7% vs Morehead State: 72.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MORE Score 63.0 81
UGA Score 66.0 120
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.4 / 34.2 46.0 / 32.0
Assists 12.9 / 12.1 29.0 / 14.0
Blocks 5.2 / 3.4 11.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 44.5 / 42.1 56.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 78.7 / 72.3 73.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 41.4 / 33.2 43.0 / 41.0
Steals 13.0 / 7.5 14.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.1 / 13.0 9.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
1%MONEY99%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
23%TICKETS77%
3%MONEY97%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
59%MONEY41%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MORE
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: +0.7
UGA Advantage
22-11-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 9.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MORE Advantage
17-13-0 (56.7%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: +0.7
UGA
15-17-1 (46.9%)
Margin: 9.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
MORE
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +3.5
UGA
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5% Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UGA
MORE
UGA
MORE
ML
67% 22-11
62% 20-12
56% 18-14
68% 21-10
ATS
61% 20-13
59% 19-13
56% 18-14
68% 21-10
TTL
64% 21-12
53% 17-15
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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