Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Keydets @ Tigers VMI @ MIZ

VMI

KEYDETSVMI

2-0  |  Road

68
FINAL
Sun, Nov 9 • 4:30 PM ET
Mizzou Arena
View Odds Details →

MISSOURI

TIGERSMIZ

2-0  |  Home

106
AI Model Win Probability
KEYDETS
100%
📊
TIGERS
0%
KEYDETS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
MISSOURI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Missouri)
KeydetsVMI (-3.5) 0 TigersMIZ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Keydets Cover

24.2%

Tigers Cover

75.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIZ -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIZ)

VMI By 1-7 points

15.3%

VMI By 8-14 points

5.8%

MIZ By 1-7 points

26.2%

MIZ By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
69
VMI
76
MISSOURI
Simulated Score
62
VMI
88
MISSOURI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 9, 2025 VMI @ MIZ 68 - 106
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +65.5% more
Missouri: 15.6 vs VMI: 9.4
Field Goal % (L5) +6.3%
Missouri: 50.9% vs VMI: 44.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.5%
Missouri: 38.5% vs VMI: 33.0%
Blocks (L5) +16.0% more
VMI: 3.9 vs Missouri: 3.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VMI Score 69.0 68
MIZ Score 76.0 106
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.5 / 33.0 33.0 / 36.0
Assists 13.0 / 14.3 20.0 / 10.0
Blocks 3.3 / 3.9 2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 50.9 / 44.6 57.0 / 33.0
Free Throw % 65.3 / 72.6 71.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 34.4 / 40.3 50.0 / 25.0
Steals 7.8 / 8.6 13.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 15.6 / 9.4 11.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
5%MONEY95%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
23%TICKETS77%
15%MONEY85%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
76%MONEY24%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
VMI
6-26-0 (18.8%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -5.4
MIZ Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 3.8 ATS +/-: -2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
VMI
9-20-0 (31.0%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -5.4
MIZ Advantage
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: 3.8 ATS +/-: -2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
VMI
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -0.1
MIZ
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIZ
VMI
MIZ
VMI
ML
61% 20-13
53% 17-15
69% 22-10
84% 27-5
ATS
70% 23-10
50% 16-16
69% 22-10
84% 27-5
TTL
79% 26-7
62% 20-12
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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