FLORIDA ATLANTIC
OWLSFAU
2-0 | Road
68
LIBERTY
FLAMESLIB
2-0 | Home
88
AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
0%
FLAMES
100%
OWLS
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
LIBERTY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LIB +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIB)
FAU By 1-7 points
26.8%
FAU By 8-14 points
18.6%
LIB By 1-7 points
23.0%
LIB By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida Atlantic
72
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Liberty
70
LIBERTY
Simulated Score
Florida Atlantic
76
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Liberty
73
LIBERTY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Owls
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Owls
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Flames (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim
Owls (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u152.5
Loss
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 9, 2025
FAU @ LIB
68 - 88
Nov 16, 2024
LIB @ FAU
74 - 77
Nov 30, 2023
LIB @ FAU
58 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+31.3% more
Florida Atlantic: 5.3
vs
Liberty: 3.6
Rebounding (L5)
+12.4% more
Florida Atlantic: 38.2
vs
Liberty: 33.4
Turnovers (L5)
+12.0% more
Florida Atlantic: 9.5
vs
Liberty: 8.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.6%
Florida Atlantic: 67.5%
vs
Liberty: 63.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FAU Score
72.0
68
LIB Score
70.0
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
44.3 / 38.8
46.0 / 20.0
Assists
18.5 / 16.9
17.0 / 7.0
Blocks
3.6 / 5.3
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
52.6 / 46.4
55.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
63.9 / 67.5
85.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
33.4 / 38.2
28.0 / 34.0
Steals
5.5 / 5.1
8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
8.4 / 9.5
9.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FAU
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: +0.2
LIB
Advantage
26-8-0
(76.5%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FAU
Advantage
17-14-0
(54.8%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: +0.2
LIB
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
FAU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +0.2
LIB
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +4.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LIB
FAU
LIB
FAU
ML
50%
17-17
64%
21-12
53%
18-16
66%
21-11
ATS
62%
21-13
70%
23-10
53%
18-16
66%
21-11
TTL
41%
14-20
58%
19-14
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
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