MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
5-4 | Road
144
SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
3-6 | Home
117
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
0%
KINGS
100%
TIMBERWOLVES
--
KINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
209.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
SACRAMENTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SAC +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SAC)
MIN By 1-7 points
27.2%
MIN By 8-14 points
20.1%
SAC By 1-7 points
21.6%
SAC By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
106
MINNESOTA
Sacramento
103
SACRAMENTO
Simulated Score
Minnesota
109
MINNESOTA
Sacramento
115
SACRAMENTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Kings
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Kings (+5)
Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim
Kings (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u237.5
Loss
Proj Total: 209.0
D
Sim
u237.5
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 14, 2025
SAC @ MIN
103 - 117
Nov 24, 2025
MIN @ SAC
112 - 117
Nov 14, 2025
SAC @ MIN
110 - 124
Nov 9, 2025
MIN @ SAC
144 - 117
Feb 3, 2025
SAC @ MIN
116 - 114
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+45.5% more
Minnesota: 4.9
vs
Sacramento: 2.7
Steals (L5)
+17.3% more
Minnesota: 6.8
vs
Sacramento: 5.6
Turnovers (L5)
+13.2% more
Minnesota: 15.3
vs
Sacramento: 13.3
Assists (L5)
+12.7% more
Minnesota: 26.7
vs
Sacramento: 23.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
106.0
144
SAC Score
103.0
117
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.1 / 46.1
45.0 / 39.0
Assists
23.3 / 26.7
25.0 / 28.0
Blocks
2.7 / 4.9
3.0 / 9.0
Field Goal %
47.1 / 52.8
44.0 / 54.0
Free Throw %
66.6 / 66.0
77.0 / 92.0
Rebounding
36.1 / 38.4
43.0 / 44.0
Steals
5.6 / 6.8
8.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
13.3 / 15.3
18.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
SAC
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
Advantage
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
SAC
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SAC
MIN
SAC
MIN
ML
55%
55-45
54%
63-53
61%
50-32
54%
50-43
ATS
54%
52-45-3
58%
67-49
61%
50-32
54%
50-43
TTL
58%
57-42-1
63%
72-43-1
100%
82-0
100%
93-0
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