Home / NHL Projections NHL / Kings @ Penguins LA @ PIT

LOS ANGELES

KINGSLA

6-5-4  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sun, Nov 9 • 2:00 PM ET
PPG Paints Arena
View Odds Details →

PITTSBURGH

PENGUINSPIT

9-4-3  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Darcy Kuemper
GOALTENDER

Darcy Kuemper

#35 | Goaltender
@
Sergei Murashov
GOALTENDER

Sergei Murashov

#1 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Darcy Kuemper None-None 2.00 0.939 --
Sergei Murashov None-None 3.09 0.889 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.00 Ldr GAA 3.09
0.939 Ldr Save % 0.889
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
100%
📊
PENGUINS
0%
KINGS --
PENGUINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Pittsburgh)
KingsLA (-3.5) 0 PenguinsPIT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Kings Cover

30.9%

Penguins Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PIT -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PIT)

LA By 1 goal

12.1%

LA By 2-3 goals

9.3%

PIT By 1 goal

19.7%

PIT By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
LOS ANGELES
4
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
4
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Penguins Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Penguins Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Penguins (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Penguins (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.0 Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 9, 2025 LA @ PIT 3 - 2
Oct 16, 2025 PIT @ LA 4 - 2
Jan 20, 2025 PIT @ LA 5 - 1
Dec 17, 2024 LA @ PIT 2 - 3
Feb 18, 2024 LA @ PIT 2 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +18.0%
Pittsburgh: 32.3% vs Los Angeles: 14.4%
Takeaways (L5) +16.2% more
Pittsburgh: 4.4 vs Los Angeles: 3.8
Shots on Goal (L5) +9.5% more
Pittsburgh: 32.3 vs Los Angeles: 29.5
Faceoff % (L5) +6.3%
Los Angeles: 53.0% vs Pittsburgh: 46.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LA Score 3.0 3
PIT Score 4.0 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 13.5 / 14.1 17.0 / 7.0
Faceoff % 46.8 / 53.0 50.0 / 50.0
Hits 15.1 / 14.4 19.0 / 9.0
Power Play % 32.3 / 14.4 50.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal 32.3 / 29.5 33.0 / 27.0
Takeaways 4.4 / 3.8 2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
47%MONEY53%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
13%TICKETS87%
69%MONEY31%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
59%MONEY41%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PIT
LA
PIT
LA
ML
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
ATS
75% 3-1
100% 3-0
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
TTL
25% 1-3
0% 0-3
50% 2-2
0% 0-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
NHL's Earliest Start Yields Scoring Surge and Sloppy Play
observer_reporter 1 hour, 20 minutes ago
Barkov Eyes Late November Return; Marchand Could Be Back Soon fo…
wsvn 1 hour, 41 minutes ago
Panthers Eyeing Vladimir Tarasenko as Insurance for Brad Marchan…
yardbarker 1 hour, 44 minutes ago
The Unexpected Cornerback the Steelers Regret Losing
si 1 hour, 44 minutes ago
Joseph Woll's Strong Start in Philadelphia Has Maple Leafs Fans …
yardbarker 2 hours ago