FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
KNIGHTSFDU
0-1 | Road
83
SAINT PETER'S
PEACOCKSSPU
0-1 | Home
93
AI Model Win Probability
KNIGHTS
100%
PEACOCKS
0%
KNIGHTS
--
PEACOCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
SAINT PETER'S
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Saint Peter's)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SPU -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SPU)
FDU By 1-7 points
15.3%
FDU By 8-14 points
5.8%
SPU By 1-7 points
26.2%
SPU By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Fairleigh Dickinson
67
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Saint Peter's
74
SAINT PETER'S
Simulated Score
Fairleigh Dickinson
65
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Saint Peter's
68
SAINT PETER'S
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Peacocks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Peacocks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Peacocks (-6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Peacocks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o137.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim
u137.5
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 8, 2025
FDU @ SPU
83 - 93
Nov 26, 2024
SPU @ FDU
78 - 76
Nov 15, 2023
SPU @ FDU
70 - 71
Nov 27, 2022
FDU @ SPU
63 - 77
Dec 11, 2019
FDU @ SPU
70 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.0%
Saint Peter's: 77.6%
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 69.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.4%
Saint Peter's: 28.7%
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 26.3%
Steals (L5)
+22.9% more
Fairleigh Dickinson: 7.1
vs
Saint Peter's: 5.5
Assists (L5)
+20.7% more
Fairleigh Dickinson: 10.6
vs
Saint Peter's: 8.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FDU Score
67.0
83
SPU Score
74.0
93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.7 / 26.3
38.0 / 45.0
Assists
8.4 / 10.6
19.0 / 17.0
Blocks
3.1 / 3.3
5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
33.4 / 39.4
50.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
77.6 / 69.6
78.0 / 55.0
Rebounding
36.1 / 33.7
33.0 / 34.0
Steals
5.5 / 7.1
12.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
12.4 / 14.4
11.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FDU
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
SPU
Advantage
17-12-0
(58.6%)
Margin: 2.4
ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FDU
10-18-1
(35.7%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
SPU
Advantage
16-11-1
(59.3%)
Margin: 2.4
ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
FDU
9-20-0
O: 31.0% / U: 69.0%
Total +/-: -2.5
SPU
10-18-0
O: 35.7% / U: 64.3%
Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SPU
FDU
SPU
FDU
ML
64%
18-10
65%
20-11
71%
20-8
74%
23-8
ATS
71%
20-8
68%
21-10
71%
20-8
74%
23-8
TTL
61%
17-11
58%
18-13
100%
28-0
100%
31-0
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