SAN FRANCISCO
DONSSF
1-0 | Road
70
MEMPHIS
TIGERSMEM
0-0 | Home
76
AI Model Win Probability
DONS
0%
TIGERS
100%
DONS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
168.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (San Francisco)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SF -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)
SF By 1-7 points
23.0%
SF By 8-14 points
27.2%
MEM By 1-7 points
10.7%
MEM By 8-14 points
3.3%
AI Model Projected Score
San Francisco
89
SAN FRANCISCO
Memphis
79
MEMPHIS
Simulated Score
San Francisco
70
SAN FRANCISCO
Memphis
73
MEMPHIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Dons
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Dons (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 168.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 8, 2025
SF @ MEM
70 - 76
Nov 21, 2024
MEM @ SF
68 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+28.5% more
San Francisco: 17.9
vs
Memphis: 12.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+12.5%
San Francisco: 79.2%
vs
Memphis: 66.7%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.5%
San Francisco: 35.6%
vs
Memphis: 31.1%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.1%
San Francisco: 46.4%
vs
Memphis: 44.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SF Score
89.0
70
MEM Score
79.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.1 / 35.6
37.0 / 33.0
Assists
12.8 / 17.9
17.0 / 12.0
Blocks
6.3 / 3.1
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
44.3 / 46.4
39.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
66.7 / 79.2
54.0 / 64.0
Rebounding
43.3 / 42.9
41.0 / 34.0
Steals
8.3 / 7.8
15.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
14.3 / 13.0
14.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF
Advantage
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: -2.4
MEM
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-: -2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: -2.4
MEM
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-: -2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9%
Total +/-: +1.1
MEM
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MEM
SF
MEM
SF
ML
62%
20-12
39%
13-20
68%
21-10
64%
21-12
ATS
62%
20-12
42%
14-19
68%
21-10
64%
21-12
TTL
66%
21-11
73%
24-9
100%
31-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
Big Ten Commissioner Tony Petitti Denies Any Expansion Talks Ami…
Aiden Tobiason Brings Sharpshooting and Playmaking to Syracuse B…
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
ACC Commissioner Jim Phillips Shrugs Off Realignment Buzz, Decla…
Jalen Shelley Compares Texas A&M Basketball's Press to Minnesota…