Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Grizzlies @ Cardinal MONT @ STAN

MONTANA

GRIZZLIESMONT

2-0  |  Road

68
FINAL
Sat, Nov 8 • 4:00 PM ET
Maples Pavilion
View Odds Details →

STANFORD

CARDINALSTAN

1-0  |  Home

91
AI Model Win Probability
GRIZZLIES
0%
📊
CARDINAL
100%
GRIZZLIES --
CARDINAL --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+12.0
STANFORD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
GrizzliesMONT (-3.5) 0 CardinalSTAN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Grizzlies Cover

11.5%

Cardinal Cover

88.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around STAN +12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STAN)

MONT By 1-7 points

20.1%

MONT By 8-14 points

27.2%

STAN By 1-7 points

8.0%

STAN By 8-14 points

2.2%

AI Model Projected Score
78
MONTANA
66
STANFORD
Simulated Score
70
MONTANA
78
STANFORD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Grizzlies Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cardinal Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cardinal (+12.5) Win
Proj Spread: +12.0
D
Sim Cardinal (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u151.5 Loss
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 8, 2025 MONT @ STAN 68 - 91
Nov 6, 2019 MONT @ STAN 62 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +22.3% more
Montana: 44.3 vs Stanford: 34.4
Field Goal % (L5) +3.5%
Montana: 49.0% vs Stanford: 45.5%
Blocks (L5) +325.5% more
Stanford: 4.3 vs Montana: 1.0
Free Throw % (L5) +5.7%
Stanford: 80.3% vs Montana: 74.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MONT Score 78.0 68
STAN Score 66.0 91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.3 / 32.6 34.0 / 30.0
Assists 12.0 / 12.9 13.0 / 10.0
Blocks 4.3 / 1.0 6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 45.5 / 49.0 46.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 80.3 / 74.7 60.0 / 94.0
Rebounding 34.4 / 44.3 39.0 / 36.0
Steals 6.6 / 6.5 14.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 11.9 / 11.9 5.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
2%MONEY98%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
63%MONEY37%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
41%MONEY59%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MONT
18-16-0 (52.9%)
Margin: 2.7 ATS +/-: -0.4
STAN Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MONT
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 2.7 ATS +/-: -0.4
STAN
16-16-1 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
MONT
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -0.4
STAN
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STAN
MONT
STAN
MONT
ML
48% 16-17
39% 13-20
50% 16-16
73% 24-9
ATS
48% 16-17
55% 18-15
50% 16-16
73% 24-9
TTL
55% 18-15
59% 19-13-1
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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