Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wolverines @ Broncos UVU @ BOIS

UTAH VALLEY

WOLVERINESUVU

1-0  |  Road

77
FINAL
Sat, Nov 8 • 4:00 PM ET
ExtraMile Arena
View Odds Details →

BOISE STATE

BRONCOSBOIS

0-1  |  Home

101
AI Model Win Probability
WOLVERINES
0%
📊
BRONCOS
100%
WOLVERINES --
BRONCOS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
BOISE STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
WolverinesUVU (-3.5) 0 BroncosBOIS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wolverines Cover

34.5%

Broncos Cover

65.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BOIS +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOIS)

UVU By 1-7 points

27.4%

UVU By 8-14 points

21.6%

BOIS By 1-7 points

20.1%

BOIS By 8-14 points

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
72
UTAH VALLEY
68
BOISE STATE
Simulated Score
63
UTAH VALLEY
75
BOISE STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Wolverines Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Broncos Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Broncos (+11.5) Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim Broncos (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u151.5 Loss
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 8, 2025 UVU @ BOIS 77 - 101
Dec 29, 2023 UVU @ BOIS 63 - 85
Nov 26, 2022 UVU @ BOIS 69 - 87
Nov 9, 2021 UVU @ BOIS 56 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +60.9% more
Utah Valley: 4.9 vs Boise State: 1.9
Steals (L5) +31.0% more
Utah Valley: 8.4 vs Boise State: 5.8
Rebounding (L5) +25.4% more
Utah Valley: 47.7 vs Boise State: 35.6
Turnovers (L5) +11.7% more
Utah Valley: 11.5 vs Boise State: 10.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UVU Score 72.0 77
BOIS Score 68.0 101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.2 / 32.5 45.0 / 21.0
Assists 16.9 / 19.1 17.0 / 11.0
Blocks 1.9 / 4.9 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 44.7 / 48.8 54.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 86.2 / 74.7 79.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 35.6 / 47.7 32.0 / 25.0
Steals 5.8 / 8.4 9.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.1 / 11.5 9.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
45%MONEY55%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
20%TICKETS80%
7%MONEY93%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
39%MONEY61%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UVU Advantage
25-9-0 (73.5%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
BOIS
20-12-0 (62.5%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UVU
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
BOIS Advantage
17-13-0 (56.7%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UVU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +1.8
BOIS
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: +3.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOIS
UVU
BOIS
UVU
ML
50% 16-16
56% 18-14
61% 19-12
72% 23-9
ATS
50% 16-16
53% 17-15
61% 19-12
74% 25-9
TTL
56% 18-14
44% 14-18
100% 31-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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