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EAST TENNESSEE STATE

BUCCANEERSETSU

1-0  |  Road

64
FINAL
Sat, Nov 8 • 6:00 PM ET
Templeton Center
View Odds Details →

PRESBYTERIAN

BLUE HOSEPRES

1-1  |  Home

68
AI Model Win Probability
BUCCANEERS
100%
📊
BLUE HOSE
0%
BUCCANEERS --
BLUE HOSE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
127.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
PRESBYTERIAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Presbyterian)
BuccaneersETSU (-3.5) 0 Blue HosePRES (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Buccaneers Cover

38.2%

Blue Hose Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PRES -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PRES)

ETSU By 1-7 points

21.6%

ETSU By 8-14 points

10.7%

PRES By 1-7 points

27.2%

PRES By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
62
EAST TENNESSEE STATE
65
PRESBYTERIAN
Simulated Score
68
EAST TENNESSEE STATE
72
PRESBYTERIAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blue Hose Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blue Hose Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blue Hose (+5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Blue Hose (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Sim u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 8, 2025 ETSU @ PRES 64 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +43.2% more
Presbyterian: 12.7 vs East Tennessee State: 8.9
Blocks (L5) +26.8% more
Presbyterian: 4.9 vs East Tennessee State: 3.9
Rebounding (L5) +14.7% more
Presbyterian: 37.0 vs East Tennessee State: 32.3
Free Throw % (L5) +5.5%
Presbyterian: 69.6% vs East Tennessee State: 64.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ETSU Score 62.0 64
PRES Score 65.0 68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.6 / 39.6 41.0 / 23.0
Assists 12.3 / 12.6 13.0 / 8.0
Blocks 4.9 / 3.9 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 47.3 / 45.5 44.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 69.6 / 64.1 73.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 37.0 / 32.3 34.0 / 32.0
Steals 6.2 / 8.5 5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 12.7 / 8.9 16.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
91%TICKETS9%
79%MONEY21%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
86%MONEY14%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
76%MONEY24%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ETSU Advantage
23-11-0 (67.7%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +0.5
PRES
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ETSU
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +0.5
PRES Advantage
17-13-0 (56.7%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
ETSU
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: +2.5
PRES
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PRES
ETSU
PRES
ETSU
ML
69% 22-10
42% 14-19
80% 24-6
70% 23-10
ATS
59% 19-13
58% 19-14
80% 24-6
70% 23-10
TTL
59% 19-13
45% 15-18
100% 30-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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