Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Knights @ Wildcats BELL @ KSU

BELLARMINE

KNIGHTSBELL

0-1  |  Road

71
FINAL
Sat, Nov 8 • 8:00 PM ET
Bramlage Coliseum
View Odds Details →

KANSAS STATE

WILDCATSKSU

1-0  |  Home

98
AI Model Win Probability
KNIGHTS
100%
📊
WILDCATS
0%
KNIGHTS --
WILDCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
KANSAS STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Kansas State)
KnightsBELL (-3.5) 0 WildcatsKSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knights Cover

24.2%

Wildcats Cover

75.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around KSU -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KSU)

BELL By 1-7 points

15.3%

BELL By 8-14 points

5.8%

KSU By 1-7 points

26.2%

KSU By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
68
BELLARMINE
75
KANSAS STATE
Simulated Score
62
BELLARMINE
78
KANSAS STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wildcats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wildcats (+28.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Wildcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u168.5 Loss
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim u168.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 8, 2025 BELL @ KSU 71 - 98
Nov 10, 2023 BELL @ KSU 75 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +68.4% more
Kansas State: 3.8 vs Bellarmine: 2.3
Rebounding (L5) +32.3% more
Kansas State: 36.6 vs Bellarmine: 27.7
Turnovers (L5) +9.1% more
Bellarmine: 14.0 vs Kansas State: 12.7
Free Throw % (L5) +6.9%
Bellarmine: 76.1% vs Kansas State: 69.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BELL Score 68.0 71
KSU Score 75.0 98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.7 / 34.6 61.0 / 20.0
Assists 15.4 / 14.4 24.0 / 11.0
Blocks 3.8 / 2.3 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 44.2 / 45.5 62.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 69.2 / 76.1 78.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 36.6 / 27.7 36.0 / 22.0
Steals 6.8 / 6.9 5.0 / 12.0
Turnovers 12.7 / 14.0 18.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
25%MONEY75%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
17%TICKETS83%
10%MONEY90%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
15%MONEY85%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BELL Advantage
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -1.7 ATS +/-: +1.7
KSU
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -2.3 ATS +/-: -2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BELL Advantage
17-12-1 (58.6%)
Margin: -1.7 ATS +/-: +1.7
KSU
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -2.3 ATS +/-: -2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
BELL
20-10-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +9.2
KSU
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KSU
BELL
KSU
BELL
ML
59% 19-13
72% 23-9
69% 22-10
94% 29-2
ATS
62% 20-12
72% 23-9
69% 22-10
94% 29-2
TTL
47% 15-17
50% 16-16
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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